EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Neutral, rebounding off gap low · RSI 43 · price 1.12169
Weekend gap down, partial fill, rejected at spike high.
The weekly open gapped about 48 pips lower to the 1.1180 gap low as Hormuz attack headlines added haven demand for USD. A single-bar spike then ran to the 1.1230 spike high before rejection, and early Asia session price is holding the 1.1211 swing low, about 40% into the gap rebound fib. The gap to the 1.1238 Friday close is still unfilled, price is pinned at EMA20 and RSI(14) is neutral at 43.
Support: 1.1211, 1.1180
Resistance: 1.1230, 1.1238, 1.1269
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.1230 spike high reopens a gap fill to the 1.1238 Friday close, with the 1.1269 Friday high beyond.
Failure to hold the 1.1211 swing low exposes the 1.1180 gap low.
ECB's Lane around 01:30 UTC and further Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read in thin Asia session liquidity.
23:31 UTC
Gap lower, rebound faded · RSI 41 · price 1.12124
Weekly-open gap down, partial fill rejected at 1.1230.
The weekly open gapped about 48 pips below Friday's 1.1238 close on weekend Hormuz headlines and printed a 1.1180 gap low. An open spike to 1.1230 stalled short of the gap fill, and price has slipped back to the 1.1211 session low near the 38.2% retrace of that rally. RSI(14) sits at 41 and price is below EMA20 in thin early-Asia trade.
Support: 1.1211, 1.1180
Resistance: 1.1230, 1.1238, 1.1269
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1230 open spike brings the 1.1238 gap fill into play, with Friday's 1.1269 high beyond
Failure to hold the 1.1211 session low (open rally fib 38.2%) exposes the 1.1180 gap low
ECB's Lane around 01:20-01:30 UTC and any further Hormuz/Iran headlines in thin Asia liquidity could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Gap lower, spike faded back toward open · RSI 41 · price 1.12122
Unfilled weekend gap; post-open spike high at 1.1230 capped below 1.1238 Friday close.
The Monday open gapped about 48 pips lower on weekend Hormuz haven risk. The 1.1180 Monday low was reversed by a 32-pip spike, but it hit rejection at the 1.1230 spike high, short of the 1.1238 gap fill. Price has since faded to 1.1212, the Friday low and the 38.2% retrace of the spike, below EMA20/50 in thin early Asia session trade.
Support: 1.1212, 1.1199, 1.1180
Resistance: 1.1230, 1.1238, 1.1269
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1238 completes the gap fill and reopens the 1.1269 Friday high
Failure to hold the 1.1212 Friday low exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.1199 and the 1.1180 Monday low
Hormuz/Iran headlines and ECB Lane (~01:20 UTC) through the Asia session could materially shift this read
Weekend gap mostly filled; price paused at the 1.1230 open high, just below Friday close.
The weekly open gapped about 48 pips lower to a 1.1180 gap low on Hormuz haven headlines. A single 32-pip bar then reclaimed most of the gap, but early Asia has stalled at the 1.1230 open high, where EMA50 also sits, about 8 pips short of the 1.1238 Friday close. Friday's ny low at 1.1212 is the nearest structural floor inside the filled zone.
Support: 1.12122, 1.11803
Resistance: 1.12302, 1.12382, 1.12691
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1238 fri close completes the gap fill and brings the 1.1269 fri high back into view
Failure back below the 1.1212 ny low reopens the 1.1180 gap low
ECB Lane/Sleijpen ~01:20–01:30 UTC and any Hormuz/Iran escalation headlines could materially shift this read
Gap down reclaimed to 50% retrace, still below gap fill.
The Sunday open gapped about 48 pips lower to a sunday low of 1.1180. A single 32-pip bar in the early Asia session then lifted price to 1.1226, the 50% retracement of the Friday high-to-Sunday low drop. The gap fill at Friday's 1.1238 close sits just above, with EMA50 near 1.1229 capping for now. RSI(14) is neutral near 52.
Support: 1.12122, 1.11803
Resistance: 1.12382, 1.12691
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.1238 gap fill (61.8% retrace at 1.1235) reopens the 1.1269 friday high, the top of Friday's AI-linked USD pullback rally
Failure back below the 1.1212 fri ny low exposes the 1.1180 sunday low
ECB's Sleijpen and Lane at ~01:20-01:30 UTC fall in thin early-Asia liquidity and could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Gapped lower, sharp rebound into the gap · RSI 46 · price 1.12159
Weekend gap down, retracing toward Friday close.
The Sunday reopen gapped ~48 pips below Friday's 1.1238 close and printed a sunday low at 1.1180. The latest bar has since recovered to 1.1216, about 60% into the gap fib and back above the friday low at 1.1212. Friday's session saw a failed London push to the 1.1269 friday high, then a NY sell-off. Price still sits just under EMA20 and below EMA50, with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 1.12122, 1.11803
Resistance: 1.12382, 1.12691
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1238 completes the gap fill and returns price to Friday's range
Slip back under the 1.1212 friday low reopens the 1.1180 sunday low
Thin early-Asia liquidity: ECB Lane/Sleijpen ~01:20 UTC could shift this read
1.1269 friday high marks the top of the intraday range
Weekly open gap below Friday's 1.1212–1.1269 range; thin early-Asia trade near open low.
EUR/USD opened the week roughly 48 pips below Friday's 1.1238 close, printing an open high at 1.1193 and an open low at 1.1180; RSI(14) is near 23 and ATR is inflated by the gap bar. Friday's AI-driven USD pullback peaked at 1.1269 before a rejection near 1.1260 during NY hours sent price to the 1.1212 fri low, and the open now sits below that whole range.
Support: 1.11803
Resistance: 1.11931, 1.12122, 1.12382
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.1180 open low extends the post-gap leg in thin Asia session liquidity
Recovery through the 1.1193 open high puts the 1.1212 fri low and 38.2% retracement in play
A full gap fill back to the 1.1238 fri close would negate the gap-down read
ECB's Sleijpen and Lane ~01:20–01:30 UTC and Elderson at 06:00 UTC could shift the read into London open
Sunday's reopen gapped about 48 pips below Friday's 1.1238 close and set an open low at 1.1181. That leaves price below the 1.1208 Friday low, after a Friday session that topped at 1.1269 in London and swung down to 1.1212 in NY. RSI(14) near 24 is oversold on thin early-Asia liquidity, and the open high at 1.1193 is capping the first bars.
Support: 1.11809, 1.1150
Resistance: 1.11931, 1.12076, 1.12382
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the open low at 1.1181 as Asia liquidity builds extends the gap move toward the 1.1150 round number
Recovery through the 1.1193 open high and the 1.1208 friday low starts a gap fill toward Friday's 1.1238 close
38.2% of the Friday high–gap low fib sits near 1.1215, just above the friday low
ECB Sleijpen/Lane ~01:20–01:30 UTC and Elderson 06:00 UTC Monday could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Gapped lower at the weekly open, below Friday's range · RSI 23 · price 1.11837
Weekend gap down beneath Friday's low, first Asia bars basing near the open low.
Weekly open gapped about 48 pips below Friday's 1.1238 close and through the 1.1208 Friday low. That leaves price well under Friday's 1.1269 high after the USD steadied on hawkish Fed pricing. Early Asia session in thin liquidity: RSI(14) is near 23 after the gap bar, with the open low at 1.1181 and the open high at 1.1193 framing the first bars.
Support: 1.11809, 1.1113
Resistance: 1.11931, 1.12076, 1.12382
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim the 1.1208 Friday low keeps the gap open; a move back to 1.1238 completes the gap fill
Break of the 1.1181 open low exposes the 1.1113 16-month low
ECB Sleijpen/Lane ~01:20-01:30 UTC and Elderson 06:00 UTC, plus weekend IMF headlines, could shift the early-week read
ATR is inflated by the gap bar, so normal M15 range is closer to 4-5 pips
21:01 UTC
Corrective rebound off NY low, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.12382
Higher lows off 1.1212, capped at asian high / 50% fib.
London cleared the asian high at 1.1241 and printed a session high at 1.1269 as the AI-linked equity sell-off weighed on USD. NY made a lower high near 1.1261, then fell to the ny low at 1.1212 as the dollar steadied. Friday closed on a grind along a rising line from that low into 1.1240, where the asian high meets the 50% fib, with EMA50 just overhead.
Support: 1.1234, 1.1226, 1.1212
Resistance: 1.1241, 1.1247, 1.1269
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 38.2% fib at 1.1234 and the rising line exposes the 1.1226 higher low, then the 1.1212 ny low
Acceptance above the 61.8% fib at 1.1247 reopens the 1.1269 session high
Weekly open gap risk from weekend IMF headlines; ECB's Lane and Sleijpen (~01:20-01:30 UTC Mon) land during the Asia session