EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Sideways, no intraday trend · RSI 48 · price 1.14782
Tight Asian range after a small weekend gap down; lower highs inside it.
EURUSD opened the week with a 4-pip gap down from Friday's close and has spent the first three hours of Asia boxed between 1.14755 and 1.14847, currently mid-range at 1.14782 with RSI(14) flat near 48 and price pinned just under EMA20. ATR(14) is only ~3.6 pips — typical thin Asian-hours compression after Friday's post-FOMC chop, with the hawkish-Fed repricing already largely in the price.
Support: 1.14755, 1.14707
Resistance: 1.14847, 1.14899
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.14847 asia high would end the Asian range and put the 1.14899 fri high back in play
Loss of 1.14755 asia low exposes the 1.14707 fri pivot
Lagarde at 15:00 UTC is the first scheduled risk capable of breaking this range
23:18 UTC
Sideways, no directional drive · RSI 48 · price 1.14795
Tight consolidation inside Friday's NY range, micro higher lows off 1.14755.
Friday's slide to the 1.14546 friday low on hawkish-Fed repricing was fully retraced into the NY close at 1.14853; the new week opened a few pips lower and has chopped in a 9-pip band, price pinned to the ema20 at 1.14808. RSI(14) at 48 and ATR(14) near 3.6 pips — thin Asia-session conditions, no structure in play.
Support: 1.14755, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.14808, 1.14847, 1.14899
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.14755 session low would confirm a lower-low and open the gap back toward the friday low
Reclaim of the 1.14847 session high puts the 1.14899 friday high back in range
Lagarde 15:00 UTC and Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC are the first scheduled risks that could break this range
Friday's range intact; new-week Asia open trading inside it.
The new week reopened with a small gap lower from Friday's 1.14853 close, dipped to the 1.14755 session low, then snapped straight back to the 1.14847 session high before flatlining at 1.14816 on thin Asia-open liquidity. Friday's post-FOMC chop — the recovery off 1.14546 up to the 1.14914 friday high — still frames the structure, with price parked mid-range just under EMA20. RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) around 3.8 pips confirm a dead tape; nothing structural in play yet.
Support: 1.14755, 1.14707
Resistance: 1.14847, 1.14914
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.14847 session high puts the 1.14914 friday high back in scope
Loss of the 1.14755 session low exposes the 1.14707 swing low
Lagarde (HIGH) at 15:00 UTC and Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC could end the Asia-open drift
Failure of the Friday recovery support line would confirm the range read is breaking lower
22:33 UTC
Sideways, no directional edge · RSI 44 · price 1.14819
Balanced range in the upper half of Friday's leg.
Early Monday Asia hours opened with a small weekend gap lower from Friday's 1.14853 close, dipped to an asia low at 1.14755 and has since recovered to the asia high at 1.14847 before stalling at 1.14819, right on EMA20. The 1.14546–1.14899 leg off Friday's low still frames the picture, with rising support from those Friday pivots intact and hawkish-Fed pricing keeping the pair capped under the friday high; ATR(14) at 4 pips, RSI(14) mid-40s — thin liquidity, nothing structural in play yet.
Support: 1.14755, 1.14714, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.1485, 1.14899
What it said to watch
Loss of the asia low at 1.14755 exposes the 1.14714 swing low and puts the rising support line in question
A close above the 1.14850 asia high re-opens the friday high at 1.14899
Range read holds while 1.14755–1.14850 contains price through the Asia session
ECB's Lagarde at 15:00 UTC is the first event risk that could break this compression
22:17 UTC
Sideways, weekend gap being filled · RSI 51 · price 1.14831
Inside Friday's range, higher lows off the Asia open low.
Monday opened with a 4-pip gap lower from Friday's 1.14853 close, dipped to an asia low of 1.14755 and has been bought back to 1.14831, now just above the EMA20 at 1.14811. Price is still boxed inside Friday's 1.14914–1.14546 decline and its late-NY recovery, with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips in thin Asian liquidity — no structural break in play.
Support: 1.14811, 1.14755, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.14853, 1.14899, 1.14914
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14853 completes the gap fill and re-opens 1.14899 / the 1.14914 friday high
Loss of the 1.14755 asia low would set the first lower low of the week and put the EMA20 behind price
Lagarde (Mon 15:00 UTC) and hawkish-Fed pricing are the first drivers capable of breaking this range; the 1.14546 friday low is the downside reference
21:47 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower off Friday's close · RSI 45 · price 1.14792
Range-bound into the reopen; lower highs since the Friday NY high, gap-down start.
The Sunday reopen gapped a few pips under Friday's 1.14853 close and sold straight into a session low at 1.14759, stalling around the 38.2% retrace of Friday's NY recovery off 1.14546 — consistent with a USD leg still parked near seven-week highs. Price sits back below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) only ~3.6 pips: thin Asia-open liquidity and nothing structural until the 1.14833 session high or the 1.14725 swing low gives way.
Support: 1.14759, 1.14725
Resistance: 1.14833, 1.14853, 1.14877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14853 fills the weekend gap and re-engages the 1.14877 friday high
Sustained trade below the 1.14725 swing low confirms a lower low off Friday's close
Lagarde at 15:00 UTC Monday and further US front-end repricing can override this thin-liquidity read
Friday range 1.14546-1.14914 intact; Sunday reopen inside its upper half.
Sunday reopen gapped a few pips below Friday's 1.14853 friday close and is holding a tight shelf between the 1.14779 sunday low and the 1.14805 ema20, with ATR(14) at 3.7 pips and RSI(14) near 43. Friday's session cut to the 1.14546 friday low on the hawkish-Fed repricing before recovering into the 1.14899 fri ny high, so the reopen sits in the upper half of that range with nothing structural resolved.
Support: 1.14779, 1.14725, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.14805, 1.14853, 1.14899
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.14779 sunday low exposes the 1.14725 fri ny base
A reclaim of 1.14853 friday close fills the reopen gap and re-engages the 1.14899 fri ny high
Only a break of the 1.14546 friday low restores a lower-low sequence
Thin Sunday liquidity keeps ranges compressed until the London open; Lagarde at 15:00 UTC Monday is the first scheduled risk to this read
21:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14816
Friday's recovery leg stalled under 1.1490; new week opens with a small gap lower into 1.1481.
Friday's NY session reversed the slide to the 1.14546 friday low with a clean recovery leg back to the 1.14899 session high, before fading into the 1.14853 friday close — the move tracked the stall in post-FOMC dollar momentum rather than any euro-side catalyst. The new week has reopened with a 4-pip gap lower to 1.14816, sitting right on EMA20 in sub-1-pip bars; ATR(14) at 3.6 pips and RSI(14) mid-range confirm no structure in play until Asia liquidity arrives.
Support: 1.14796, 1.14725, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.14853, 1.14899
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14853 friday close would fill the gap and put the 1.14899 session high back in focus
Loss of 1.14796 swing low breaks the rising lows off 1.14546 and puts 1.14725 prior low back in range
Lagarde at 15:00 UTC Monday is the first scheduled risk that could override this thin-liquidity read
Sub-1-pip Sunday-open bars deflate ATR; expect range expansion on the Asia session open
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14546, last eight bars coiling under the session high.
Price has retraced almost the entire slide to the 1.14546 window low, stair-stepping back up through the later session and closing at 1.14853, above EMA20 (1.14815) and EMA50 (1.14775). The 1.14899 session high capped two attempts and the last two hours have compressed into a 1.14796–1.14899 band on thinning activity; ATR(14) at just 3.8 pips shows how tight the tape has become, with hawkish-Fed repricing having been the earlier drag on EUR and no data inside the window.
Support: 1.14796, 1.14734, 1.14546
Resistance: 1.14899, 1.14914
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.14899 session high opens the path to the 1.14914 prior high
Loss of the 1.14796 swing low breaks the rising support line and exposes the 1.14734 prior low
ECB's Lagarde (15:00 UTC Monday) is the first scheduled risk after this window and could reset the intraday range