NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:07 UTC
Sideways, recovering off Thursday's range low · RSI 53 · price 0.56109
0.5582–0.5628 range; weekend gap near-filled at EMA20.
NZDUSD has rotated inside a 0.5582–0.5628 range all week. Tuesday's London-to-NY rally set the range top at 0.5628, and Friday's Asia push stalled just below it at 0.5627 before NY hours sold it back to 0.5601 as the USD recovered. Sunday's weekly open gapped down to 0.5603 and dipped to 0.5592, then demand lifted price back to EMA(20). That level sits on the 38.2% of the Thursday–Friday swing, just under the prior close at 0.5613, with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 0.56095, 0.56033, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56128, 0.56282
What it said to watch
H1 acceptance above the prior close at 0.5613 completes the weekend gap fill and puts the range top at 0.5628 back in focus.
A close above the 0.5628 range top would break the week's range. The 0.5622–0.5630 cap has held recoveries all week.
Failure to hold EMA(20) and the weekly open at 0.5603 reopens the Sunday low at 0.5592 and the range low at 0.5582. A break of the range low would bring the 0.5580 18-month low into play.
Fed speakers Hammack (Mon) and Waller (Tue) come ahead of US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC, and any of them could materially shift this read.
RBNZ Governor Breman speaks Thu at 17:15 UTC and is the NZD-side swing factor for the range.
22:06 UTC
Sideways, mid-range after gap lower · RSI 47 · price 0.56073
0.5582–0.5628 range; tops at 0.5627–0.5628 capped twice.
NZDUSD has rotated inside a 0.5582–0.5628 range all week. Tuesday's NY push to the 0.5628 week high and Friday's Asia-session retest at 0.5627 both met rejection under the range top, while Thursday's London dip to the 0.5582 week low, near the YTD floor, drew demand back to 0.5613 in NY. Sunday's open gapped below the 0.5613 Friday close and probed a 0.5592 gap low in thin trade. Price now sits just under ema20 (0.5609, also the 38.2% fib of the Thursday–Friday rally) and above EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat at 47. High US yields and fading October RBNZ hike odds explain the heavy tone, but neither range boundary has broken.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55924, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56093, 0.56128, 0.56282
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5628 week high breaks the range top and clears the 0.5622–0.5630 ceiling
Failure to hold the 0.5600 psych level (61.8% fib) and the 0.5592 gap low exposes the 0.5582 week low at the YTD floor
Reclaiming ema20 and the 0.5613 Friday close fills the weekend gap and returns price to the upper half of the range
US CPI Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC and RBNZ's Breman Thu Oct 15 17:15 UTC are the likeliest catalysts to resolve the range
0.5582–0.5628 range; Friday higher low, weekly open gapped lower.
The range top near 0.5627 rejected rallies on Tuesday, Wednesday and again in Friday's Asia session. Lows slipped to the week low at 0.5582 during Thursday's London session before US yields eased and the pair rebounded. The weekly open gapped about 10 pips below the friday close to 0.5603, putting price back under EMA(20) and EMA(50) and close to the friday low at 0.5601, roughly the 50% retracement of the Thursday–Friday rally, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.5601, 0.5582
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5627
What it said to watch
A gap fill back to the friday close at 0.5613 reclaims EMA(20) and restores the mid-range read
An H1 close below the friday low and 0.5600 breaks the Thursday–Friday rising support and exposes the week low at 0.5582
Acceptance above the range top at 0.5627 turns the three-touch rejection into a range break
US CPI Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.6% y/y) could materially shift this read via US yields
RBNZ Breman speech Thu Oct 15 17:15 UTC is the key NZD-side risk for the range