USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at Friday high · RSI 57 · price 1.40182
Weekend gap filled, higher low at 1.4010, capped at 1.4020.
The Sunday open gapped ~30 pips higher to the 1.4042 gap high in thin early Asia trade. The gap then filled almost exactly at Friday's 1.4010 close, between the 38.2–50% retracement of the Friday low-to-open-high leg, and price bounced back to the 1.4020 Friday high. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 57, and Friday's post-retail-sales dip to 1.3968 has been fully reclaimed.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3968
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4042
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4020 friday high reopens the 1.4042 gap high
Failure to hold the 1.4010 gap fill exposes the 1.4000 round number and then the 1.3968 friday low
Thin Asia session liquidity can exaggerate moves around 1.4020
Wed BoC decision (hike consensus) and FOMC are the scheduled risks for a larger shift in this read; Tue US data comes first
23:31 UTC
Gap-up faded, rebounding off gap fill · RSI 56 · price 1.40182
Weekly open gap to 1.4042 fully filled at 1.4010; higher lows since, pressing Friday high.
The weekly open gapped USDCAD up about 29 pips to the 1.4042 open high, then faded straight into a full gap fill at Friday's 1.4010 close. Early-Asia rebound now presses the 1.4018 friday high, which sits near the 38.2% retrace of the fade, in thin trade ahead of Wednesday's BoC and FOMC.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3968
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4042
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4018 friday high and the 38.2% fib at 1.4022 opens the path back to the 1.4042 open high
Failure to hold the 1.4010 gap fill exposes the 1.4000 round number, with the friday low at 1.3968 below
Weekend oil and Middle East headlines can move CAD sharply in thin Asia session liquidity
BoC and FOMC decisions on Wednesday could materially shift this read
Weekly-open gap filled, price pinned between gap fill and Friday high.
The weekly open gapped about 30 pips higher to the open high at 1.4042. It was sold straight back to the gap fill at 1.4010 in early Asia, and price is now sitting on EMA20 just under the Friday high at 1.4018. Friday's NY recovery off the 1.3968 low, set after the Canada retail sales release, keeps the 1.4000 round number as the floor below.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3983
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4042
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4018 friday high reopens the 1.4042 open high
Failure to hold the 1.4010 gap fill exposes the 1.4000 round number, then the 1.3983 swing low from Friday's late-NY spike
US data Tuesday, then BoC (13:45 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) Wednesday, are the main event risk; Asia drift is likely to stay thin until then
23:03 UTC
Sideways, weekend gap faded · RSI 55 · price 1.40142
Weekly-open gap fully filled, early Asia basing near Friday close.
Weekly open gapped about 29 pips higher to the 1.4042 open high and met rejection inside the first hour. The gap fill completed at 1.40095 against Friday's close, and price is now basing just above EMA20 near 1.4014 in thin early-Asia trade. Friday's 1.4018 high is the first cap, with the 38.2% gap retrace near 1.4022 just above it.
Support: 1.40095, 1.4000, 1.39834
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.40286, 1.4042
What it said to watch
Holding the 1.40095 gap fill keeps the retest of Friday's close intact.
An M15 close below the 1.4000 round number exposes Friday's 1.3983 spike low.
An M15 close above the 1.4018 fri high reopens the 1.4029 gap shelf and the 1.4042 open high.
No scheduled data in the next 8h. BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the week's main event risk for this read.
22:46 UTC
Flat after weekend gap faded · RSI 56 · price 1.40121
Gap up to 1.4042 fully retraced to Friday close; basing at 1.4009.
The Sunday open gapped USDCAD about 29 pips higher to a 1.4042 gap high. It met rejection and fell straight back to the gap fill at Friday's 1.4009 close in thin early Asia trade. Price now sits on the 38.2% of the Friday low–Sunday high fib, just under the ema20, with the 1.4018 friday high overhead after Friday's retail-sales dip to 1.3968 was fully recovered.
Support: 1.40095, 1.4000, 1.39834
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4042
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.4009 gap fill exposes the 1.4000 round number and the 1.3983 spike low (50%–61.8% fib zone)
M15 close back above the 1.4018 friday high reopens the path to the 1.4042 gap high
Oil and Middle East headlines in thin Asia liquidity could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's BoC and FOMC decisions
Higher lows off 1.3968; Sunday gap to 1.4042 nearly filled.
The weekly open gapped about 30 pips higher to the 1.4042 open high, then met supply that erased nearly all of it, leaving price at 1.4012 just above the 1.4009 Fri close in early Asia session. Friday's 1.3968 low printed around Canada retail sales, and higher lows since then held price above the 1.4000 round number into the close. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and price sits near the 38.2% retracement of the 1.3968–1.4042 move.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3968
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4042
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.4009 Fri close completes the gap fill and puts the 1.4000 round number in play
Failure to hold the rising support from the friday low reopens 1.3968
Recovery above the 1.4018 friday high would reframe the gap fade as a retest; 1.4042 open high caps above
BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC, hike consensus) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read later in the week
22:16 UTC
Gap higher at weekly open, fading in thin early Asia · RSI 58 · price 1.40212
Weekend gap partly filled; four straight lower closes from the open high.
Weekly open gapped about 29 pips above the Friday close at 1.4009 and printed an open high at 1.4042. Price has since slipped to 1.4021, four lower closes into early Asia, toward the Friday high at 1.4018. That level also sits near the 38.2% of the post-data rally from Friday's 1.3968 low, set on the Canada retail sales release.
Support: 1.4018, 1.40094, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4042
What it said to watch
A close back below the Friday high at 1.4018 leaves the gap fill to the Friday close at 1.4009 exposed
Loss of the 1.4000 round number would erase the gap and return price to Friday's range
Reclaiming the open high at 1.4042 invalidates the gap-fade read
Thin Sunday liquidity, with no scheduled data in the next 8h; BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the week's main risks
22:03 UTC
Friday recovery extended by a weekend gap up, now fading · RSI 61 · price 1.40212
Gap up at the Sunday reopen, lower highs since, gap fill in progress.
USDCAD reopened about 29 pips above Friday's close, after Friday's NY recovery from the 1.3968 retail-sales low. Price has faded from the 1.4042 open high through the 1.4035 gap shelf and now sits on Friday's prior high at 1.4018. That level is roughly the 38.2% fib of the 1.3968–1.4042 move.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4035, 1.4042
What it said to watch
A close back under the 1.4018 prior high opens the gap fill toward the 1.4009 fri close
Failure to hold the 1.4000 psych level negates the Friday NY recovery
Reclaiming the 1.4035 gap shelf and the 1.4042 open high would mean the gap is holding
Thin early-Asia liquidity; oil headlines are the main CAD driver until Wednesday's BoC and FOMC decisions
21:46 UTC
Gap higher at weekly open, stalling · RSI 71 · price 1.40341
Sunday open gapped above Friday's close and range; thin liquidity, no swing structure yet.
The weekly open gapped about 29 pips above Friday's 1.4009 close. The 1.4042 open high faded quickly to a 1.4033 Sunday low, and price is holding just above it in thin pre-Asia trade. The gap sits on top of Friday's NY rally from 1.3968, which unwound the post-retail-sales drop and carried price back above the 1.4000 handle and Friday's 1.4018 high.
Support: 1.40329, 1.4018, 1.40094
Resistance: 1.4042
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4033 sunday low opens a gap fill toward Friday's 1.4009 close
Asian session holding above the 1.4018 friday high keeps the gap intact; losing it puts the NY rally fib levels back in play
A break above the 1.4042 open high would mark the first higher high of the week
BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) sit beyond this window but could shift positioning flows early in the week
21:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Friday low, gap higher at open · RSI 69 · price 1.40339
Weekend gap above Friday high; higher lows since 1.3968.
Sunday's open gapped about 29 pips above Friday's 1.4009 close and cleared the 1.4018 prior high. The second bar was rejected at the 1.4042 session high and faded to 1.4034. The move extends Friday's NY recovery from 1.3968, a low set after the mixed Canada retail sales print, back through the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4042
What it said to watch
Thin early Asia liquidity: a slide back below the 1.4018 prior high opens a gap fill toward 1.4009
An M15 close above the 1.4042 session high voids the rejection read
Failure to hold the 1.4000 round number would put the post-retail-sales retracement past 50%
Tue US data, then Wed's BoC (13:45 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC), could materially shift this read later in the week
21:16 UTC
Gap higher at weekly open, above Friday range · RSI 72 · price 1.40409
Weekly open gapped above Friday's 1.3968–1.4018 range; gap unfilled.
The weekly open gapped about 30 pips above the 1.4009 Friday close to 1.4041, clearing the 1.4018 Friday high on one thin Asia-open bar. RSI(14) near 72 reflects the gap rather than trending bars. Friday's 1.3968 low printed after the Canadian retail sales miss and was bought back to the top of the range by the close.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4041, 1.4050
What it said to watch
A gap fill back to the 1.4009 Friday close puts price back inside Friday's range, with the 1.4018 Friday high the first test
The 1.4041 open high and 1.4050 psych level are the nearest overhead markers; Asia session liquidity is thin
Failure at the 1.4000 round number re-exposes Friday's 1.3968 low
BoC decision and FOMC on Wed (Oct 28), plus Tuesday's US data, could materially shift this read
V-recovery from NY low; higher lows forming under the 1.4015–1.4018 highs.
Friday's NY session slid through the Canada retail sales print to a session low at 1.3968, then retraced the whole London drop. The 17:45 UTC spike to the 1.3983 spike low was rejected and the 1.4000 psych held on retest. Price closed the week at 1.4009 with higher lows pressing toward the NY high at 1.4015 and the day high at 1.4018.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39834, 1.3968
Resistance: 1.40148, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.4018 day high breaks the top of Friday's range
Loss of the 1.4000 psych and the 1.3983 spike low reopens the 1.3968 session low
Sunday open gap risk after Middle East and oil headlines
BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the main event risks this week