USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:02 UTC
Turning higher off the lows, higher lows intact · RSI 64 · price 0.82527
Higher lows since 0.8127; lower-high sequence broken above 0.8255.
USD/CHF has printed higher lows along a higher-low line since the 0.8127/0.8133 double bottom. Tuesday's hot US CPI carried price through the 0.8220 neckline and the broken high at 0.8255, tagging the 0.8268 cpi high before stalling. Price holds above both EMAs, with EMA(20) closing on the flat ema50 at 0.8208 from below, while ATR(14) has eased from about 30 to 26.3 pips, so the rally has come without range expansion.
Support: 0.8255, 0.82076, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8268, 0.8313
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the 0.8255 broken high would mark the CPI breakout as a false break
Sustained trade above the 0.8268 cpi high opens the 0.8313 prior high, the last lower high in the window
Failure to hold the 0.8174 swing low breaks the higher-low line and the rally fib structure
An EMA(20) cross above the ema50 near 0.8208 would confirm the swing turn
Fed's Bowman and Paulson at 23:30 UTC, then Thursday's jobless claims (f/c 195K) and Fed speakers, could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Bottoming, turning up from two-month low · RSI 67 · price 0.8262
Double bottom at 0.8127–0.8135, higher low at 0.8174, break above 0.8227.
USD/CHF has turned up from a double bottom at 0.8127–0.8135. It printed a higher low at 0.8174, then broke above the 0.8227 breakout level after the hot US CPI (headline 0.4% vs 0.3%, core 0.3% vs 0.2%) lifted the dollar to the 0.8268 CPI high. Price has cleared the downtrend line from the early-window 0.8395 high and sits above both EMAs. EMA20 is still just below the flattening EMA50 at 0.8206 but rising toward it, while ATR(14) has re-expanded to 27.3 pips from a 24.9 trough and RSI at 66.9 is firm but short of overbought.
Support: 0.8227, 0.82057, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8268, 0.8313
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the 0.8227 breakout level would mark a false break and return price to the prior range
Failure to hold the 0.8174 higher low undoes the double bottom read and exposes 0.8127
Clearance of the 0.8268 CPI high puts the 0.8313 Oct high in play; rejection there leaves the breakout unconfirmed
EMA20 crossing above EMA50 (0.8206) would confirm the swing turn
Fed's Bowman at 20:30 and 23:30 UTC and Thursday's jobless claims (f/c 195K) could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Basing after a multi-week decline, turning higher · RSI 60 · price 0.82268
Triple bottom near 0.8130, higher lows at 0.8174, pressing the 0.8220s cap.
The slide from the 0.8313 swing high found a floor in a triple bottom at 0.8127–0.8135, and has since printed a flat higher low at 0.8174 twice. The hot US October CPI (headline 0.4% vs 0.3%, core 0.3% vs 0.2%) lifted price to a 0.8232 CPI high, a marginal breakout above the 0.8220–0.8227 cap and near the 61.8% decline fib at 0.8242. Price sits above both EMAs with ema20 rising toward a flattening ema50, RSI at 60.3 is its highest of the recent run, and ATR has eased from ~30 to ~26 pips after a period of compression.
Support: 0.82035, 0.8174, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.82323, 0.8255, 0.8313
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the 0.8205 ema50 area marks the breakout as a false break
Close above the 0.8255 prior high clears the decline fib and opens the path to the 0.8313 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.8174 higher low breaks the base and re-exposes the 0.8130 triple bottom
An ema20 cross above ema50 would confirm the swing turn; the gap is now ~8 pips
Fed's Bowman (20:30 and 23:30 UTC) and Paulson could extend or unwind the CPI move
Lower highs from 0.8395, higher low at 0.8174 above the 0.8127-0.8133 base, compressing under 0.8227.
Lower highs at 0.8395 and 0.8313 still define the multi-week descent. Price has since based at the 0.8127-0.8133 swing low, an unconfirmed double bottom, and printed a higher low at 0.8174, while the 0.8210-0.8227 swing high zone has capped repeated tests near the 50% retracement of the 0.8313-0.8127 leg. Price holds above the ema50 at 0.8202 and the rising EMA20, which is still below a flattening EMA50, and ATR(14) has eased from ~30 to 25.6 pips as the range compresses; Friday's NFP beat drove the rebound, but the oil slide and Iran de-escalation have kept USD gains contained.
Support: 0.8202, 0.8174, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8227, 0.8242
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 0.8227 swing high and the lower-highs trendline (~0.8235) would confirm the double bottom and open the 61.8% fib at 0.8242
Failure to hold the 0.8174 higher low would expose the 0.8133 swing low base again
EMA20 converging on EMA50; a bullish ema cross or a close back below the ema50 at 0.8202 would shift the read
US October CPI at 13:30 UTC (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read and break the compression
06:02 UTC
Lower highs, rebounding off base · RSI 52 · price 0.81955
0.8130–0.8227 range under falling trendline.
Lower highs from the 0.8395 peak (0.8313, then 0.8227) keep the falling trendline intact. The 0.8127–0.8135 base around the 2-month low held three times, and the NFP beat lifted price into a 0.8130–0.8227 range, with rejection at the range high and higher lows since the swing low at 0.8174. Price sits between a rising EMA(20) at 0.8190 and a flattening EMA(50) at 0.8202. RSI at 51.6 is neutral, and ATR(14) has compressed from ~30 to 24.8 pips into today's US CPI.
Support: 0.8190, 0.8174, 0.8128
Resistance: 0.8202, 0.8227, 0.8313
What it said to watch
US CPI today at 13:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; Waller speaks at 09:00 UTC
H4 close above the 0.8227 range high breaks the falling trendline and opens the 0.8313 prior high
Close back above the ema50 at 0.8202 needed to lift price out of the EMA sandwich
Failure at the 0.8174 swing low breaks the higher lows and returns focus to the 0.8128 2-month low
Triple base at 0.8127-0.8135, higher lows below a 0.8220-0.8227 cap.
The slide from 0.8313 found a floor at 0.8127, and three tests of the 0.8127-0.8135 base lows have since printed. The NFP beat then drove a run of higher lows, with the latest higher low at 0.8174. Each rally has stalled at the 0.8220-0.8227 range cap, which coincides with the 50% retracement of the drop, and Monday's rejection there has put price back under the ema50 near 0.8197. ATR(14) has compressed to about 25 pips from the early-November expansion, consistent with a coiling range rather than an extending trend.
Support: 0.8174, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8224, 0.8256
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 0.8224 range cap completes the triple bottom and opens the 0.8256 lower high
Loss of the 0.8174 higher low breaks the rising-low line and returns focus to the 0.8133 base lows
Holding below the ema50 near 0.8197 keeps price pinned in the lower half of the range
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC: a soft core print would undercut the post-NFP leg, a hot print tests the range cap again