USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 18 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalled into the close · RSI 45 · price 0.82202
Lower highs from 0.8260, now a 6-pip coil above the session low.
NY session sold the 0.82598 high in three steps of lower highs, bottoming at 0.82159 as post-Fed dollar longs were trimmed and US yields eased. Last 15 bars are a 0.82159–0.82220 coil under the ema20 at 0.82237, ATR down to ~4 pips on Friday late-NY liquidity — no structure in play here.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.82237, 0.8232, 0.82439
What it said to watch
A close back above the ema20 at 0.82237 and then the broken shelf at 0.82320 would end the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82159 session low extends the NY leg down toward the 0.82100 psych level
Compression into the Friday close leaves weekend gap risk on the Asia reopen
SNB decision Thu 24 Sep is the next scheduled CHF catalyst; Fedspeak Monday could reset the intraday range
Price rolled over from the 0.82598 session high through the NY session as post-Fed dollar momentum cooled, bottoming at the 0.82159 session low. The last three hours have been a 6-pip coil between the 0.82188 range base and the 0.82220 range top with ATR down to ~3 pips and RSI(14) near 40 — flat, thin late-NY conditions below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82159, 0.82188
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.82220 range top would end the lower-high sequence off 0.82439
Loss of the 0.82159 session low extends the intraday downtrend
Liquidity is thinning into the close — the coil carries weekend gap risk
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled CHF catalyst and can reset this range
Lower highs into a tight late-NY range above 0.8216.
Steady NY-session slide from 0.8259 through a chain of lower highs, with profit-taking on the post-FOMC dollar leg and a soft US industrial production print taking the edge off. Last five hours have coiled in a 0.8216–0.8222 band on thin late-session flow, RSI(14) near 31 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~4 pips shows how compressed the range is.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.8233, 0.82439
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8222 range top would end the lower-highs sequence and put 0.8233 prior low back in play
Loss of the 0.82159 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.8200 psych level
Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee) is the next catalyst after the weekend gap; SNB Thursday is the bigger event risk for this pair
Lower highs into a tight basing range above the session low.
NY session sold USD/CHF from 0.82598 down through the 0.82287 broken base to a 0.82168 session low, in line with the profit-taking on post-FOMC dollar longs flagged in the digest. The last twelve bars are pinned in a 0.82168–0.82220 range with RSI(14) around 30 and ATR only ~4 pips — no follow-through into the Friday close, price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82168, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.82287, 0.82334
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.82220 range top would end the basing read and put 0.82287 broken base back in play
Loss of the 0.82168 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.82100 round number
Thin late-Friday liquidity — Monday's open gap risk and Fedspeak (Goolsbee 10:30 UTC) could reset this range
Lower highs/lower lows into a tight 0.8219–0.8222 shelf.
NY hours sold the 0.82598 session high in a clean chain of lower highs down to a session low of 0.82168, consistent with profit-taking off the week's 0.8263 peak as US yields slipped. Last ten bars have gone flat in a 0.8219–0.8222 shelf with ATR compressed to ~3 pips into the Friday close; RSI(14) near 28 is oversold but not turning.
Support: 0.82168, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.82287
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82220 range top, then 0.82287 prior low, would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.82168 session low extends the decline toward the 0.8210 round number
Liquidity thins into the weekend close — the current shelf is low-participation and can gap on Monday's open
SNB decision Thu 24 Sep is the next scheduled catalyst; nothing scheduled in the next 8h
Lower highs and lower lows, now coiling above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.82598 to a session low at 0.82168 as the post-FOMC dollar bid faded with softer US industrial production, and price is now pinned in a 5-pip coil between the session low and 0.82220 range top into the NY close. RSI(14) near 28 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) at roughly 4 pips reflects the thin late-session tape.
Support: 0.82168, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.8229, 0.82439
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.82168 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.82100 round number
A close back above the 0.82220 range top would put the 0.82290 prior swing back in play and neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Asia open liquidity can resolve the current consolidation in either direction; no scheduled USD or CHF releases in the next 8 hours
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.82598 high, now flat-lining just above the session low.
Price rolled over from 0.82598 into the London-NY transition and stair-stepped lower through NY as the post-FOMC dollar bid faded with crude and UST yields, with the 0.82439 swing high capping the only real bounce. Last two hours are a 4-pip coil between 0.82177 and the 0.82220 range top on collapsing activity into the Friday close; ATR(14) at ~4.5 pips, RSI(14) near 32, price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.82331, 0.82439
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82220 range top would end the lower-high sequence and put the broken shelf at 0.82331 back in play
Loss of the 0.82177 session low extends the NY leg lower toward the 0.82100 psych level
SNB decision Thu 24 Sep 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst capable of resetting this range
Lower highs / lower lows, now compressed in a 5-pip shelf.
NY hours rolled the pair from the 0.82598 session high into a 0.82177 session low, a clean chain of lower highs through the 0.82334 swing pivot as post-FOMC dollar longs were trimmed and the US industrial production miss gave no support. Last two hours are dead flat between 0.82187 and 0.82220 with price pinned under the 0.82265 ema20 and ATR(14) down to ~5 pips into the Friday close; RSI(14) near 35, weak but not extreme.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8210
Resistance: 0.82265, 0.82334, 0.82598
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.82265 ema20 and then 0.82334 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82177 session low extends the sequence toward the 0.82100 round number
Thin late-Friday liquidity — the shelf can be swept on very low participation; weekend gap risk on the Monday reopen
Chain of lower highs and lower lows into late NY, now a tight 4-pip consolidation above the session low.
NY hours sold the pair from 0.82598 down to the 0.82177 session low as the post-FOMC dollar push stalled and traders trimmed longs, leaving a clean lower-high chain via the 0.82439 ny high and 0.82287 prior swing. Last six bars are pinned in a 0.82177–0.82220 consolidation with the 0.82220 micro cap intact, ATR(14) down to ~4.8 pips and RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.82287, 0.82439
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82287 prior swing would break the lower-high chain
A close below the 0.82177 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.8200 round number
Late-Friday liquidity thinning: the 0.82177–0.82220 consolidation can hold into the close without resolving
Fedspeak Monday and the 24 Sep SNB decision are the next scheduled catalysts that could reset this intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.82598; last six bars flat-basing above 0.82177.
Steady NY-session slide from 0.82598 into a session low of 0.82177, with price now pinned in a 4-pip band under the ema20 as the week closes out on minimal volume — consistent with profit-taking in the post-FOMC dollar rally. RSI(14) near 32 is soft but not extreme, and the lower-highs chain from 0.82439 remains intact.
Support: 0.82177, 0.82145
Resistance: 0.82275, 0.82334, 0.82439
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.82177 confirms a fresh lower low and exposes 0.82145
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.82275 and a close above the 0.82334 prior swing breaks the lower-highs sequence
Late-Friday liquidity is thin; the final bars carry little structural weight into the weekend gap
Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee 10:30 UTC) is the first scheduled catalyst that could reset this intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8259 NY-hours high; base forming at 0.8219.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8259 to 0.8218, a clean chain of lower highs after softer US industrial production (0% vs 0.3% f/c) and the crude-led slide in yields took the edge off the post-FOMC dollar. Last four bars have gone flat between 0.8219 and 0.8222 with RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) around 4.6 pips — pause in a downtrend, not yet a turn.
Support: 0.82177, 0.82145
Resistance: 0.82287, 0.82439
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82287 swing pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.82177 session low extends toward the 0.82145 prior low
Thin late-NY liquidity — the 0.8219-0.8222 consolidation can break either way on low volume
Lower highs and lower lows since the NY-session high, now basing in a tight 20-pip shelf.
Steady NY-session slide from the 0.82598 session high to 0.82177, price accelerating lower after the softer US industrial production print and the pullback in crude took the edge off the post-FOMC dollar. Last four bars are flat between 0.82177 and 0.82220 with RSI(14) near 29 and price well below EMA20/EMA50; ATR(14) has compressed to ~5.6 pips into the weekly close.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82287, 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82287 minor pivot would break the lower-high chain and invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Loss of the 0.82177 session low extends the leg toward the 0.8200 psych area
Thin late-Friday liquidity is compressing ranges; SNB decision Thursday is the next event risk for this pair
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the 0.82598 NY high.
Late NY hours have sold the pair from 0.82598 down through the Asian/London band to a session low at 0.82177, with easing US yields and softer US industrial production taking the edge off the post-FOMC dollar. Price is pinned under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 24, and the last three bars are stalling in a 4-pip coil just above the low.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8213, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82287, 0.82366, 0.82439
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82287, the broken low, would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.82177 confirms continuation toward the 0.8213 round number and 0.8185 prior low
Weekend gap risk into the Monday open with the move already extended on a sub-25 RSI
NY session has sold off in a clean chain of lower highs from the 0.82598 session high, slicing through the Asian range floor and printing a session low at 0.82177 as the hawkish-Fed USD bid faded alongside softer US industrial production. RSI(14) at ~26 is oversold and ATR(14) ~5.8 pips; no reclaim attempt yet with price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8215
Resistance: 0.8232, 0.8242, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8232 prior low would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.82177 session low puts the 0.8215 round number in scope
A push back above the 0.8242 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled event able to reshape this read
17:17 UTC
Downtrend, extended into new lows · RSI 22 · price 0.82178
Lower highs and lower lows through NY, fresh session low on the close.
Steady NY-session slide from the 0.82598 session high into a fresh session low at 0.82177, with the 0.82439 swing high capping the only real bounce and 0.82280 giving way on the last two bars. RSI(14) near 22 is oversold for M15 while ATR(14) sits at ~6 pips, so the drift is orderly rather than impulsive — consistent with a stretched USD fading after the soft US industrial production print.
Support: 0.82177, 0.8200, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8228, 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.82280 broken low would break the lower-high chain
Acceptance below the 0.82177 session low brings the 0.82000 round number and the 0.81850 pivot level into scope
Late NY hours into the weekend close thin liquidity can exaggerate this leg
17:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into the close · RSI 30 · price 0.82269
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the 0.82598 session high; price parked on the session low.
Steady NY-session bleed from the 0.82598 session high, with each bounce capped lower — 0.82439 then 0.82370 — and the last bars closing right on the 0.82264 session low as US yields eased off the week's highs. RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) about 6 pips, so the move is stretched but the range is narrow.
Support: 0.82264, 0.8220
Resistance: 0.8237, 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82370 would break the lower-high chain that has defined the NY session
Failure to hold 0.82264 puts the 0.82200 psych area in scope
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekly close can distort the final bars; SNB on 24 Sep is the next scheduled risk for this pair
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum extended late NY · RSI 30 · price 0.82287
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, session low being probed.
After the rejection at the 0.82598 day high in early NY, USDCHF has ground out a clean lower-high chain and broken the 0.8240 intraday shelf, closing at 0.82287 just above the session low with price under both EMA20 (~0.8240) and EMA50. RSI(14) near 29.5 is soft but not extreme; the slide matches the digest's read of easing US yields and firmer CHF trimming the week's carry-driven gains.
Support: 0.82281, 0.82257, 0.8220
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.82439 ny swing high would break the lower-high chain
Acceptance below the 0.82257 asia low opens the 0.82200 psych area
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.82400 would neutralise the downside break
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk for this pair
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into late NY · RSI 32 · price 0.82314
Lower highs / lower lows since the 0.82598 session high.
Rejection at the 0.82598 session high in the London-NY overlap has given way to a clean chain of lower highs, the last capped at 0.82439, and price is now pinned on the 0.82312 session low with RSI(14) near 32 and ATR(14) around 6 pips. The fade is consistent with US yields easing back through the NY afternoon rather than any fresh print; the final bar is thin, late-session liquidity.
Support: 0.82312, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82439, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Close below 0.82312 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.82257 prior low
Reclaim of 0.82439 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Fedspeak from Monday and the SNB decision later in the week are the next scheduled risks to this read
16:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since the NY high · RSI 37 · price 0.82371
Lower-high / lower-low chain below ema20 after rejection at the session high.
USDCHF faded through the NY session: rejection at the 0.82598 session high, then a break of the 0.8245 shelf down to the 0.82312 session low as CHF clawed back ground with US yields easing off the post-FOMC spike. Price is capped by the ema20 near 0.82465 and the 0.82439 bounce high, RSI(14) at 37 with ATR(14) ~6 pips.
Support: 0.82312, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82439, 0.82465, 0.82598
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.82439 bounce high and the ema20 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.82312 session low exposes the 0.82257 asia low
Late-NY liquidity is thinning — the final bars carry minimal participation and can distort the range read
Fedspeak Monday and the SNB decision Thursday are the next scheduled risks to this structure
Lower highs / lower lows since 12:15 UTC, bounce from session low.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.82598 session high during the London-NY overlap and has printed a chain of lower highs since, with the NY leg taking out 0.82369 and basing at the 0.82312 session low. The slide lines up with the digest's read of easier US yields lifting CHF; the last two bars have recovered to 0.82413, back under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) at roughly 6 pips.
Support: 0.82312, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82439, 0.8250, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above the 0.82500 psych level would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.82312 session low exposes the 0.82257 prior low from the Asia session
Rejection at the 0.82439 bounce high keeps the NY downswing intact
Final NY hours into the weekly close thin liquidity out — moves can overshoot the 6-pip ATR
15:47 UTC
Downtrend into NY, bouncing off session low · RSI 35 · price 0.82418
Lower highs since the London high, full retrace of the London advance.
London pushed to 0.82598 and was rejected, with the NY session unwinding the entire advance to 0.82312 — the softer US 10y and easing crude behind the CHF bid noted in the digest. Price has bounced to 0.82418, roughly the 50% retrace of the 0.82257-0.82598 leg, but sits below EMA20 at 0.82480 with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR at ~6 pips.
Support: 0.82312, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.82543, 0.82598
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.82480 ema20 would break the lower-high chain off the london high
Loss of the 0.82312 ny low reopens the 0.82257 asia low and the 0.8225 consolidation floor
No US or Swiss data scheduled in the next 8h; Fed speaker commentary on October pricing is the main intraday swing factor
Lower highs off 0.82598, session low 0.82312 after loss of the 0.8245 base.
Rejection at the 0.82598 session high around 12:00 UTC has turned into a clean NY-hours downleg: the 0.8245 base gave way and price is printing 0.82333 into a session low at 0.82312, with RSI(14) near 29 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. Softer US yields keep the Franc supported, and the move sits at the deep retracement of the Asia-to-NY leg, just above the 0.8225 range floor flagged as the consolidation base.
Support: 0.82312, 0.82257, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82457, 0.82485, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.82257 asia low would confirm a lower low and put the 0.8225 range floor in play
Reclaim of the 0.82457 broken base negates the NY downside leg
Failure to hold 0.82312 session low keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
US calendar bare for the next 8h; Fed speaker commentary is the main headline risk to this read
Rejection from 0.82598 session high, back inside prior range.
USDCHF topped at the 0.82598 session high just before the NY open and has ground lower in a chain of lower highs, with the last full bar slicing to 0.82369 and closing at 0.82405 — the 61.8% retracement of the move up from 0.82268. Price is back below the 0.82490 ema20 with RSI(14) near 28, consistent with the broader post-Fed USD rally stalling as US yields ease.
Support: 0.82369, 0.8234, 0.82268
Resistance: 0.8249, 0.82598
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back above the 0.82490 ema20 would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.82369 session low on a closing basis exposes the 0.82340 asia low, then 0.82268 swing low
Late-Friday NY hours: thinning liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction on low volume
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling after NY rejection · RSI 49 · price 0.82483
Higher lows off the Asia low, capped by session high; now range-bound.
USDCHF marked the session high at 0.82598 in the first hour of NY, then faded 13 pips and has spent the last two hours chopping between the ny low at 0.82458 and the prior high at 0.82550 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 48. The advance from the 0.82257 asia low tracked the stalling post-Fed dollar bid; 0.82468 (38.2% of that leg) is currently doing the work on the downside, ATR(14) about 5 pips per bar.
Support: 0.82458, 0.82411, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Close above 0.82550 re-opens the session high at 0.82598
Loss of 0.82458 breaks the rising support chain of intraday higher lows and exposes 0.82411
Nothing structural until one side of the 0.82458–0.82550 range gives way; thin late-NY liquidity ahead
NY session high rejected, price back inside the 0.8246-0.8255 band.
The NY open push to a session high of 0.82598 was rejected and price has since chopped back into a 0.8246-0.8255 band, with RSI(14) back at neutral near 49 and spot pinned on the EMA20. Recovery off the 0.82257 24h low through London fits the broader stall in the post-Fed dollar bid as US yields slipped; ATR(14) is a thin 5.2 pips.
Support: 0.82458, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82598
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 0.82458 swing low turns the sequence into lower highs and lower lows, exposing the 0.82412 london low
Reclaim of the 0.82551 prior high is the first condition for a re-test of the 0.82598 session high
Late-Friday NY liquidity thinning can distort the range edges into the close
14:17 UTC
Uptrend off the session low, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.82512
Higher lows from 0.82257, supply capping at 0.82598.
Pre-London flush to the 0.82257 session low was reclaimed through London, and the 0.82257–0.82598 swing topped out at 0.82598 just before the NY open, where the move was rejected back to 0.82458. Price is mid-band at 0.82512 with RSI(14) at 57 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — consistent with the 0.8225/0.8265 post-Fed consolidation the dollar has been stuck in as US yields ease.
Support: 0.82458, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82598, 0.8265
What it said to watch
A close below 0.82458 breaks the higher-low chain off 0.82257, with 0.82412 the next prior low
Acceptance above the 0.82598 session high puts the 0.8265 range top back in play
Loss of the rising support line off 0.82412 would flatten the intraday structure into late NY hours
Liquidity thins after the first hours of NY; no scheduled USD or CHF releases in the next 8h
Higher lows off Asia low, consolidating under session high.
The London-NY overlap pushed USDCHF to a session high of 0.82598 and it was rejected there, price now back under EMA20 at 0.82499 with RSI(14) neutral near 49. The rise off the 0.82257 Asia low remains intact while the 0.82461 pullback low holds; the last four bars are flat around 0.8248 after the 13:15 GMT US industrial production print, ATR(14) only ~4.8 pips.
Support: 0.82461, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82499, 0.82551, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.82551 prior high re-opens the 0.82598 session high
Loss of the 0.82461 pullback low breaks the rising support off the asia low and questions the higher-low sequence
Fed-speak and US data headlines into the NY afternoon are the main driver for this pair
Higher highs from Asia low, first lower high after 0.82598 rejection.
Price built a clean higher-low chain off the 0.82257 Asia low through London, topping at 0.82598 in the London-NY transition before rejecting back to 0.82483 — the first lower high of the sequence, with RSI(14) cooling to ~54 and price slipping under EMA20 while holding above EMA50. Dollar tone stays firm after the Fed's hawkish hike, but the 0.8255/0.8260 shelf has capped three attempts; ATR(14) near 5 pips shows a tight intraday range.
Support: 0.82461, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82598
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82598 session high would resume the higher-high sequence; failure at 0.82551 prior high keeps the lower-high read
Loss of 0.82461 recent low, then 0.82412 swing low, breaks the rising support off the asia low
US Industrial Production just released at 13:15 GMT — follow-through in the next bars is the near-term driver
Higher lows from the asian low, sharp rejection at the session high.
Price built a chain of higher lows off the 0.82257 asian low through London, peaked at the 0.82598 session high and was rejected hard in the last hour, giving back 11 pips and closing back below EMA20 at ~0.8251. Hawkish Warsh commentary underpinned the dollar during European hours, but RSI(14) has cooled to ~49 and the move is now mid-range between 0.82474 and the 0.82551 prior high.
Support: 0.82474, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82598
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.82412 swing low breaks the rising-low chain and invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Reclaim of the 0.82551 prior high puts the 0.82598 session high back in play
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC is the only US data left this week and can reprice the USD leg immediately
Higher highs/higher lows off the Asia low, first lower high printing after rejection at 0.82598.
London ground price up from the 0.82257 asia low to a session high at 0.82598 before a sharp rejection dumped it back under the 0.82550 prior high and below EMA20, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 51. The pair is holding the 16-month-high area as USD stays firm post-hawkish Fed hike, but supply is capping the 0.8260 zone; ATR(14) is a thin 5.2 pips.
Support: 0.82466, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.82598
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.82550 prior high would re-open the 0.82598 session high
Loss of the 0.82466 pivot and then the 0.82412 london low breaks the rising support line off the asia low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC lands just ahead of the NY open and could reset the intraday range
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 63 · price 0.82559
Higher highs and higher lows since the 04:15 UTC low; Asia range high broken.
London took out the Asian range high near 0.8252 and price has held above it, extending to a session high of 0.82598 as hawkish Warsh remarks kept the dollar bid. RSI(14) at 63 with ATR(14) about 4.7 pips — orderly grind, not an impulse, with Wednesday's 0.8263 high the next reference overhead.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8248, 0.82412
Resistance: 0.82598, 0.8263
What it said to watch
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC lands inside the next bar and can reprice the USD leg
M15 close back below the 0.8252 breakout lvl would negate the Asia-range break
Loss of the 0.82412 session low would confirm a lower low and end the higher-high chain
0.82598 session high and 0.8263 wed high — areas to monitor for rejection or continuation
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing new 24h high · RSI 66 · price 0.82582
Higher highs / higher lows since the Asia low, range top taken out.
Late London / pre-NY hours cleared the 0.82520 prior high that had capped price for most of the window, printing a fresh 24h high at 0.82590 with RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not stretched. The grind up from the Asia low at 0.82257 has held a clean higher-low chain, dollar dips still being bought while the post-Fed impulse consolidates.
Support: 0.8252, 0.82466, 0.82412
Resistance: 0.8259
What it said to watch
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next bar period and can reprice the dollar leg
A close back below 0.82520 would mark the break as a false break and put price back inside the prior range
Loss of the 0.82412 london low would end the higher-low sequence on this timeframe
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.82557
Higher highs and higher lows since the session low.
Into the London-NY transition USDCHF extended a chain of higher lows off the 0.82257 session low and printed a fresh 24h high at 0.82583, clearing the 0.82550 cluster with RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched. Move fits the digest's read of the pair consolidating in the 0.8225-0.8275 band as the post-Fed dollar tone steadies; ATR(14) is thin at ~4.6 pips.
Support: 0.82466, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82583, 0.8260
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82583 session high puts the 0.82600 round number in play
Loss of the 0.82466 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.82412 prior low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next hour and can reset the intraday range
11:46 UTC
Grinding higher inside range · RSI 64 · price 0.82538
Higher lows since the London low, price pressing the top of a 0.8225-0.8255 range.
Price bottomed at the 0.82257 session low early in the London session and has built a chain of higher lows back to 0.82538, holding above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched. The session high at 0.82551 has capped two attempts; ATR(14) at ~5 pips shows a compressed, low-range grind consistent with a position-squaring Friday as US yields ease.
Support: 0.8249, 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82596
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82551 session high opens the path toward the 0.82596 prior high
Loss of the 0.82412 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens the 0.82257 session low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next few bars and could break this range in either direction
Sustained trade back below the ema20 near 0.82490 would flatten the intraday structure
Higher lows off the asia low, capped under the london high.
Price has ground out a chain of higher lows from the asia low at 0.82257, but the 0.82551 london high was rejected twice in the last hour and the pair sits mid-range at 0.82504 with RSI(14) flat near 51. ATR(14) at 5 pips — thin, position-squaring conditions as the post-FOMC dollar bid stalls with US yields easing.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82551 london high would extend the intraday sequence toward 0.82619 prior high
Loss of 0.82412 london low breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens the 0.82257 asia low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled driver in the next bars and could break this range
Higher lows off the London low, capped at session high.
London has ground price up in a chain of higher lows from the 0.82257 session low, but the push to 0.82551 was rejected immediately and price is back under 0.8250 into the London-NY transition. RSI(14) at ~52 and ATR(14) at ~5 pips — mid-range, no momentum edge, with the USD side still soft as yields and crude ease.
Support: 0.82427, 0.82372, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82619
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82551 session high would extend the higher-low sequence toward 0.82619 prior high
Loss of the 0.82427 swing low breaks the rising-lows structure and re-opens 0.82372 asia low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next few bars and can reset the intraday range
11:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 52 · price 0.82486
Higher highs and higher lows since the 04:15 UTC low, capped 0.82551.
London hours built a chain of higher lows off the 0.82257 session low and pushed into 0.82551, where the last two bars were rejected back to 0.82486 — right on EMA20. Momentum is neutral (RSI ~52) with ATR only ~5 pips, consistent with the stalling post-FOMC dollar as US yields ease.
Support: 0.82433, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82551, 0.82619
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.82433 higher low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and reopens 0.82257
A 15-minute close above the 0.82551 session high puts the 0.82619 prior day high back in play
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled driver inside the next few bars
Higher lows off the asia low, capped at the session high.
The bounce off the 0.82257 asia low stalled at the 0.82522 session high, which has been tapped twice and rejected both times through the London–NY transition. Last three hours have compressed into a 0.8243–0.8252 range base, RSI(14) ~53 and ATR(14) ~4.7 pips, with the post-FOMC USD give-back on softer yields and oil keeping the pair off its 16-month high.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.82619
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.8243 range base reopens the 0.82257 asia low and the 0.82225 prior low
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high shifts focus to the 0.82619 prior high and invalidates the range read
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term event risk able to break this range
10:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling under session high · RSI 54 · price 0.82486
Higher lows off the asia low, supply capping 0.82505–0.82522.
Asia sold the pair to 0.82257 before London bid it back into a higher-low chain (0.82412, then 0.82430), with rejection each time price tagged 0.82505–0.82522. Move is consistent with the stalled post-Fed USD rally as US 10y yields eased to 4.93%; RSI(14) mid-range at ~54, ATR(14) only ~5 pips so ranges are tight into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.82412, 0.8243, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.82619
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82522 session high opens the path back toward the 0.82619 prior day hi
Loss of the 0.82412 session low breaks the higher low chain and re-exposes the 0.82257 asia low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled catalyst inside the next few bars
Range with higher low; supply capping near 0.8252.
Asia based twice around 0.8226 and London lifted price into 0.82522, where the last three attempts have been rejected — the pair is now mid-range at 0.82457, pinned either side of EMA20. Softer US yields and crude are behind the two-session drift off the 16-month-high area, but nothing has broken: 0.82412 london low and the 0.8250 cap define the current session range, ATR(14) near 4.9 pips.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high would end the range read and expose 0.82619 prior high
Loss of 0.82412 london low puts the 0.82257 asia low back in play and negates the higher-low sequence
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled catalyst inside the next few bars
10:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting higher off Asia low · RSI 53 · price 0.82457
London range 0.8241–0.8252 after higher low vs Asia session.
Asia session marked a low at 0.82257 — a higher low against the prior day low at 0.82225 — and London bought it back into a tight 0.82412–0.82522 range, with the dollar leg still capped as US 10y yields ease. Price sits mid-range at 0.82457, RSI(14) flat near 53 and ATR(14) just 4.9 pips; nothing structural in play until one edge of the London range gives.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.82619 prior day hi
Loss of the 0.82412 london low reopens the 0.82257 asia low and the 0.82225 prior day low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term catalyst and could break the range
Higher lows since the Asia dip, capped under the session high.
Pre-London dip to the 0.82257 session low was bought back and the London session has chained higher lows into 0.8251, just under the 0.82522 session high, with price above both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 59. The pair is still boxed inside the broader 0.8225-0.8275 consolidation flagged since the post-Fed stall, with softer US 10y yields and lower crude keeping the dollar leg two-way; ATR(14) around 5 pips shows a compressed intraday range.
Support: 0.8242, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82522 session high puts the 0.8262 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.8242 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.82257 session low
A close below 0.82225, the prev day low, would confirm a lower low on this timeframe
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only US data left today and can reset this intraday range
24h range with higher low; London grinding back toward range top.
Price has spent 24h between the 0.82225 range base and 0.8252, with the Asia low at 0.82257 holding as a higher low and London lifting the pair back to the 0.82522 session high before fading to 0.8248. The pullback from Wednesday's 0.8262 prior high remains positional as the post-FOMC dollar rally pauses; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) ~5 pips keeps ranges tight.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high re-opens the 0.8262 prior high
Loss of the 0.82412 session low puts the asia low at 0.82257 back in play
A break of the 0.82225 range base would confirm a lower low and invalidate the range read
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only US data left this week and can widen these tight ranges
Range between asia low and session high, price mid-range.
Two rejections at the 0.82522 session high — once in late Asia, again in the first London hour — have left USDCHF pinned mid-range at 0.82451, just above EMA20 and EMA50. The Asian slide to 0.82257 was bought back within four bars and the London low at 0.82412 has held so far; the broader driver remains the post-Fed CHF-funding story that pushed spot to 16-month highs near 0.8263 earlier this week.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82522 session high reopens the 0.82620 prior day high
Loss of the 0.82412 london low puts the 0.82257 asia low back in play
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst inside this range
ATR(14) near 5 pips — range compression means breaks can be quick to fail
09:03 UTC
Sideways, no intraday direction · RSI 54 · price 0.82451
Range-bound; failed break of range low, price back mid-range.
Choppy range between the 0.82225 prior-day low and the 0.82522 session high; the early-Europe dip to the 0.82257 asia low was recovered within two bars, a false break rather than a fresh leg. RSI(14) near 54 and ATR around 5 pips — London has added no direction after Wednesday's 16-month high stalled beneath the 0.82620 prior-day high, with price now pinned on flat EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.82412 london low re-exposes the 0.82257 asia low and the 0.82225 prior-day low
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high reopens the 0.82620 prior-day high
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled driver inside this session
08:46 UTC
Sideways, no intraday trend · RSI 56 · price 0.82443
24h range, double bottom base under a flat range top.
USDCHF is mid-range at 0.82443 after the London-morning push into 0.82522 was rejected for a second time, with the pullback from Wednesday's 16-month high still positional rather than directional. The 0.8226 area held twice in the last 24h to form the range base; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) about 5 pips — nothing structural in play inside 0.8241–0.8252.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82522 range top would open the path back toward the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of 0.82412 session low re-exposes the 0.82257 range low and the double bottom base
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled catalyst that could break this range today
24h range 0.8222–0.8262; higher lows into London, capped at the london high.
London open extended the grind off the 0.82257 asia low to 0.82522, then a single 10-pip bar knocked price straight back to 0.82433 — rejection at the london high, RSI(14) back to mid-50s. Still inside the 0.8222–0.8262 24h range that formed as the post-Fed dollar push paused near 16-month USDCHF highs; ATR(14) only ~5 pips, so the swings are small.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82522 london high reopens the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82412 recent low puts the 0.82257 asia low and 0.82225 prev day low back in play
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled risk that can break this range today
08:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low, stalling at range top · RSI 65 · price 0.82508
Higher-low chain from 0.82257, supply at the session high.
London has ground price back up from the 0.82257 Asia low in a clean higher-low sequence, with the 0.82522 session high capping twice and price now 1.4 pips beneath it. RSI(14) at 65 is firm but not stretched; ATR(14) just 4.5 pips, consistent with the post-Fed USD pause that stalled the CHF-funding move short of Wednesday's 0.8263 high.
Support: 0.8242, 0.82346, 0.82257
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8256, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82522 session high exposes 0.82560 prior high and the 0.82620 pd high
Loss of 0.82420 london low breaks the rising higher-low chain and re-opens 0.82346 swing low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled risk that could reset this intraday range
08:03 UTC
Recovery leg higher inside a 24h range · RSI 61 · price 0.82508
Higher lows off the Asia low, price back at the top of the range.
Price ground higher through the European morning from the 0.82257 session low back to the 0.82525 session high, holding above the 0.8243 pivot on every dip. Still boxed inside the 0.8222–0.8262 range carved out after the post-Fed run to 16-month highs; RSI(14) ~61 and ATR(14) only 4.6 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 session high opens the path back to the 0.8262 16-mo high
Loss of the 0.8243 pivot reopens the 0.82257 session low and the 0.82225 prior-day lo
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled risk in the next session and could break the compression
Intraday range; higher lows off the early-London low.
Early London bid USDCHF off the 0.82257 session low back to the 0.82500 session high, price reclaiming the EMA20 with RSI(14) near 58 — no extreme. The pair is still boxed inside yesterday's NY range (0.82225 prior day low to the 0.82620 prior day high), with the 0.82225/0.82257 double bottom the base of the last 18 hours.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
15m close above the 0.82500 session high opens the 0.82525 prior high, then 0.82620 prior day high
Loss of the 0.82257 session low confirms a lower low and re-exposes the 0.82225 prior day low
Slip back under the EMA20 near 0.82430 would neutralise the London recovery
Fed's Bowman remarks and US industrial production later today are the near-term risk to this range read
07:31 UTC
Micro uptrend inside a 24h range · RSI 64 · price 0.82491
Higher lows off 0.82257, supply near the asian high.
Price has chained higher lows since the 04:00 GMT dip to 0.82257 — a near-match of Thursday's 0.82225 prior low — and is pressing back toward the 0.82522 asian high into the London open, having retraced roughly two-thirds of Thursday's NY drop. Move is consistent with the pause in post-Fed dollar buying rather than fresh direction; RSI(14) at 63.5 is firm but not extreme and ATR(14) is a thin 4.8 pips.
Support: 0.82389, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 0.82522 asian high would extend the higher low sequence toward the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82389 higher low returns price into the lower half of the range and re-exposes 0.82257
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT are the near-term event risks for this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering within range, no directional edge · RSI 59 · price 0.82462
Late-Asia break below the Asian range low reclaimed; higher lows since 0.82257.
Late-Asia flush to 0.82257 was a false break of the Asian range low and has been fully reclaimed into the first hours of London, price back at 0.82462 with a chain of higher lows off 0.82388. Broader tone is the post-Fed dollar pause noted in the USD digest — the pullback has been positional, with the 0.82500 round number and 0.82522 asia high still capping.
Support: 0.82388, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT falls inside the next bar period and can reset intraday direction
M15 close above 0.82522 asia high opens the path back to the 0.82620 prior day high
Loss of the 0.82388 recovery low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.82257 session low
07:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, no clear intraday trend · RSI 58 · price 0.82462
24h range 0.8222-0.8262, double bottom near 0.8226.
Late Asia dipped to 0.82257, a retest of Thursday's NY low at 0.82225, and the double bottom held — price has recovered to 0.82462 into the London open, back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 58. Net effect is mid-range chop inside the 0.8222-0.8262 band while the post-Fed dollar move consolidates, CHF still the offered funding leg; ATR(14) only ~5 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225, 0.8241
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82522 asian high would put the 0.82620 prior high back in play
A close below 0.82225 prior low invalidates the double bottom and the range read
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT then US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could break the compressed range
Late NY selling took USDCHF from the 0.82525 prior high down to 0.82257, and early London has retraced most of that leg in a chain of higher lows, with price now stalling into 0.8246 session high. RSI(14) back at 49.7 and ATR ~4.8 pips — the post-Fed dollar pause described in the digest is showing up here as two-way chop rather than trend.
Support: 0.8237, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.82525
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8246 session high opens the 0.82525 prior high
Loss of 0.8237 swing low re-exposes the 0.82257 asia low and 0.82225 prior low
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT lands inside the next bar period and could break the range
US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst for this range
06:31 UTC
Sideways, grinding back off the lows · RSI 47 · price 0.82449
24h range 0.8222-0.8262; higher lows since the Asia low.
Late-Asia selling into the London open dropped USDCHF to 0.82257, holding just above the prior day low at 0.82225 — a double bottom with the NY low — and price has since recovered eight bars in a row to 0.82449, back above EMA20. Range read intact between 0.82225 and the 0.82520 session high, with the pullback still looking positional rather than a break of the post-Fed CHF-weakness structure.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8226, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82520 session high reopens the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of 0.82225 prior day low invalidates the double bottom and the 24h range read
Failure to hold the 0.82370 micro pivot on this bounce would mark a lower high
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT can reprice the dollar leg within the session
24h range 0.8222-0.8262; equal lows at 0.8223/0.8226 with price back mid-range.
Early London sold the Asian range down to a 0.82257 session low, just 3 pips above yesterday's NY 0.82225 prior low, and has since retraced roughly 60% of that leg back through the ema20 to 0.82424. No trend on this window — the pair is mid-range between 0.82225 and the 0.82620 prior day high, with the Fed–SNB divergence story already parked and momentum neutral at RSI 45.
Support: 0.82395, 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82522 asia high would put the 0.82620 prior day high back in play
M15 close below 0.82225 breaks the double bottom and invalidates the range read
Loss of the ema20 around 0.82395 would put the session low back into focus
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT are the near-term risks to this range
Lower highs into a double bottom at 0.8223/0.8226.
The Asian range topped at 0.82522 and rolled over into the London open, printing 0.82257 — a near-match of yesterday's NY low at 0.82225, a double bottom that has since drawn a 17-pip bounce back to the recent high at 0.82435. Post-Fed dollar momentum has stalled here rather than reversed: RSI(14) at 45 is mid-range, ATR(14) around 5 pips, and price is pinned between 0.82257 and 0.82435 in the first London hour.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225, 0.82124
Resistance: 0.82435, 0.82522
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 0.82435 puts the asian high at 0.82522 back in play and negates the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.82257 and then the prior low at 0.82225 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.82124 psych support
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT could materially shift this intraday read
24h range 0.8222-0.8262; higher low at 0.82257 after Asia flush.
Asia session flushed to 0.82257, held above the 0.82225 swing low left in NY hours, and has since retraced roughly 60% of that leg back to 0.82418 with RSI(14) near 44. The 0.8246 congestion band that capped the overnight drift is the immediate hurdle, with Wednesday's post-Fed 0.8262 prior high still the ceiling of the CHF-weakness move.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8246 congestion band would extend the bounce off the asia low toward 0.82522 asia high
Loss of 0.82257 asia low and then 0.82225 swing low confirms a lower-low sequence
London open and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT can reset the intraday range; ATR(14) ~4.6 pips is compressed
Lower highs since NY close, fresh session low then retracement.
Asia broke below the overnight 0.8243–0.8250 shelf and printed a session low at 0.82257, with price now retracing about half of that leg into the 0.8240 area where the ema20 sits. Move fits the post-Fed dollar pause that pulled USDCHF off Wednesday's 16-month high; RSI(14) near 42, ATR(14) about 4.5 pips.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.82522
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8243 (ema20) would neutralise the range break and put the 0.82522 session high back in play
Failure to hold 0.82257 session low confirms a lower-low with the 0.82225 prior day low next reference
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC, just ahead of the London open, could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since NY close · RSI 35 · price 0.8234
Asian range broken lower, sub-range bounce off session low.
Late Asia sold through the 0.8243 floor of a tight 0.8243–0.8252 overnight range, printing a session low at 0.8226 before a shallow bounce back to 0.8234 into the pre-London hour. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 35 and ATR(14) only ~4.4 pips — this is a positional trim of the post-Fed, CHF-funding move rather than a trend change.
Support: 0.8226, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8252
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8243 broken floor would negate the range break
Close below 0.8222 prior low confirms a fresh lower low
BoJ decision pre-London and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC can reset this pre-London range within the next few bars
Lower highs / lower lows since the Asia session high.
Asia session lost the 0.8245–0.8252 shelf and printed a session low at 0.82257, having rolled over from the 0.82522 session high; price now 0.8234 with RSI(14) near 33 and below both EMA20 and EMA50. The bounce has so far stalled under the broken shelf at 0.82452, consistent with the CHF-negative post-FOMC move pausing rather than resuming. ATR(14) ~4.6 pips, so ranges are thin ahead of London.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82452, 0.82522
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.82452 broken shelf would negate the Asia range break
Failure to hold the 0.82257 session low exposes yesterday's 0.82225 prior low
BoJ decision pre-London and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia range broken to the downside, chain of lower highs.
Asia gave up its 0.82340 range floor in the last two hours and extended to a session low of 0.82257, RSI(14) down to ~25 — the only oversold reading in the window — with price below both EMA20 and EMA50. The slide fits the stalling post-FOMC USD bid, pushing the pair back toward the base of its recent 0.8225–0.8275 consolidation band and the prev day low at 0.82225.
Support: 0.82257, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8234, 0.82433
What it said to watch
A close below 0.82225 prev day low confirms a lower low and extends the range break
Reclaim of 0.82340 asia low would negate the range break and put 0.82433 swing high back in play
Retracement of the asia down leg stalling under 0.82340 keeps the lower highs sequence intact
BoJ decision pre-London and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC can reprice USD within the next few bars
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg into London open · RSI 24 · price 0.82264
Asian range broken lower, lower highs and lower lows.
Asia spent seven hours coiling in a 0.8243–0.82522 band before pre-London selling broke the asia low at 0.8243 and ran straight through 0.8235, printing 0.82264 with RSI(14) near 24. That drops price onto the 0.82225 swing low from yesterday's NY session and the 0.822 round number, the floor of the 0.8225–0.8275 consolidation band that has contained this rate-differential-driven move.
Support: 0.82225, 0.8220
Resistance: 0.8235, 0.8243, 0.82522
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 0.82225 swing low confirms a fresh lower low and puts the 0.822 round number in play
Reclaim of 0.8243 asia low would negate the range break and restore the Asian balance
Realised bar ranges have expanded well beyond ATR(14) ~4.3 pips — sizing assumptions from the Asian session no longer hold
BoJ decision at the London open plus Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT can reprice the USD leg inside the next few bars
Asia has broken the overnight 0.8243–0.8252 consolidation to the downside after rejection at the 0.82522 asia high, with the last four bars closing lower into 0.82328 and RSI(14) near 29. The move extends Thursday's fade from the 16-month high as the post-Fed USD rally stalled; 0.82303 swing low and the 0.82225 session low are the next reference points below.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.82522 asia high invalidates the range break read
Loss of 0.82225 session low confirms a lower low and extends the Asia leg
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reshape the intraday USD tone
Lower highs since the NY high; Asian range floor broken.
The Asian range floor at 0.82340 gave way over the last three bars, printing a fresh session low at 0.82328 with RSI(14) down near 28 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The NY leg from 0.82619 to 0.82225 — CHF clawing back ground as the post-Fed dollar rally stalled — still frames the day, with the 0.82271 swing low the first shelf beneath.
Support: 0.82271, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8234, 0.8244, 0.82522
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.82271 exposes the 0.82225 ny low
Reclaim of the 0.82340 asia low and the 0.82440 ema20 would negate the downside range break
A move back through 0.82522 asia high restores the overnight consolidation read
BoJ decision due pre-London open is a broad USD volatility risk for the next bars
NY hours put in the 0.82225 ny low before a recovery leg to 0.82525, and Asia has done nothing but grind the 0.82425–0.82522 band since, with rate-differential flows (hawkish Fed vs SNB at zero) keeping CHF the soft leg. Last two bars are sitting on the range floor with RSI(14) at 42 and ATR only ~3.7 pips — no structural break in play yet.
Support: 0.82425, 0.82372, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.82425 range floor exposes the 0.82372 asia low, then the 0.82225 ny low
Reclaim of the 0.82522 session high puts the 0.82620 prior high back in scope
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT are the next scheduled risks to this range read
03:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.82457
Asian-range consolidation after NY low reclaim.
Price sold into 0.82225 during the NY session before grinding back, and the late Asia hours have coiled into a 0.82340–0.82522 band with a small rollover gap around the NY close still unfilled below. Last bar at 0.82457 sits right on the EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI(14) at 51 and ATR only ~4 pips — Fed-vs-SNB divergence keeps the pair near 16-month highs, but nothing structural is in play inside the range.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82522, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82522 session high re-opens the 0.82620 prior day hi
Loss of the 0.82425 range floor exposes the 0.82340 asian low, then 0.82225 ny low
BoJ decision pre-London and Fed's Bowman later can shift the broad USD read into the next session
03:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.82481
Asia range inside Thursday's NY range, no HH/HL chain.
Asia has coiled in a 0.82425–0.82525 band after NY carved the low at 0.82225 and rejected the 0.82525 range top twice; ATR(14) near 3.4 pips flags session compression. RSI(14) at 49 is neutral and price is parked on the 61.8% retrace of the NY downswing, with the Fed–SNB divergence trade idling ahead of next week's SNB.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 range top opens the 0.82619 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.82425 swing low re-exposes the 0.82340 asia low, then 0.82225 ny low
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT are the next USD-side catalysts for this range
Rejection from the 61.8% retrace would keep the Asia range intact
03:02 UTC
Sideways, no momentum either way · RSI 52 · price 0.82481
Asian range with higher lows inside a 10-pip band.
Thursday's NY session pushed USDCHF down to the 0.82225 ny low before a recovery leg back to the 0.82525 range top; Asia has since consolidated in a 0.82425–0.82525 band with higher lows off the 0.82340 asia low. RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips — the crowded Fed-vs-SNB rate-differential trade is idling ahead of next week's SNB, with price pinned just above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 range top extends the recovery leg toward the 0.82620 prior day high
Loss of the 0.82425 range floor puts the 0.82340 asia low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the first USD-side catalyst after the Asian range
Tight Asian range after NY-session flush and recovery.
The NY session flushed USDCHF to 0.82225 — the base of the 0.8225-0.8275 consolidation band that has framed the post-Fed pause in the USD rally — before a recovery back to 0.8250. Asia has since compressed into an 8-pip range either side of the EMAs, with ATR(14) at ~3 pips and RSI(14) at 52; the rollover gap down to 0.82372 was filled within the hour.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82500 asia high, then 0.82525 prior high, would end the range read
Loss of the 0.82425 session low re-opens 0.82340 asian low and the 0.82225 ny low
London open within the next two hours typically expands a range this compressed
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) are the USD-side events after this Asian session
USDCHF is compressing in a 0.82425–0.82500 Asian range, having recovered off the 0.82225 prior day low during NY hours and left a small rollover gap at the session change. Lower highs off 0.82619 and 0.82525 still cap the tape, RSI(14) mid-range near 55 and ATR(14) just 3.4 pips — the divergence trade is idling ahead of next week's SNB.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82500 asia high would end the range read and put 0.82525 ny high back in play
Loss of the 0.82425 range floor exposes 0.82340 asia low, then the 0.82225 prior day low
London open liquidity typically resolves this Asian range; Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC are the next USD-side catalysts
02:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.82447
Tight Asian range inside yesterday's NY range.
Mid-Asia session and USDCHF is coiled in a 16-pip band between the asian low at 0.8234 and the asian high at 0.8250, price pinned on EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) at 49.5 and ATR(14) down to ~4 pips. The pair is still digesting the post-FOMC push to 16-month highs — the 0.8262 prior day high and the 0.82525 ny bounce high cap, while 0.82425 has held as the range floor through the last eight bars.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82500 breaks the Asian range and puts 0.82525 back in focus
Loss of 0.82425 range floor and then 0.8234 would expose the 0.82225 ny low
BoJ decision due around the London open — broad dollar repricing could invalidate this low-volatility range read
02:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.82447
Asian range inside prior NY range, price mid-range.
Post-FOMC dollar strength stalled below the 16-month high area; after NY recovered from 0.82225 to a 0.82525 ny high, Asia has compressed into a 0.82340–0.82500 range with price pinned at 0.82447, either side of flat EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR(14) down to ~3 pips — no structural setup in play at this hour.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82500 asia high puts the 0.82525 ny high back in focus
Loss of 0.82425 recent low, then the 0.82340 asia low, would break the Asian range lower
BoJ decision before the London open plus Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC can reset broad dollar tone and invalidate this range read
01:31 UTC
Range after NY-session drop, drift sideways · RSI 53 · price 0.82449
Balanced Asian range inside prior NY range, no fresh extremes.
NY hours sold 0.8262 down to the 0.82225 ny low before a grind back to the mid-0.8240s, consistent with the digest's 0.8225-0.8275 post-Fed consolidation read. Asia has been inert around a rollover gap: price is pinned between the 0.8234 asia low and the 0.825 asia high with ATR near 4 pips and RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.825 asia high, then 0.82525 prior high, would end the sideways read
Loss of the 0.8234 asia low re-exposes the 0.82225 ny low
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC land after the Asian range, either could break this compression
01:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY leg down · RSI 46 · price 0.82437
Range-bound; higher low vs NY low, capped under 0.8250.
NY hours sold into 0.82225 before the pair recovered and spent the Asia session grinding in a 0.82372–0.82500 band, with a small rollover gap down marking the session low. Price is pinned to a flat EMA20 near 0.8244 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR(14) compressed to about 4 pips — no structural development in play.
Support: 0.82372, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82619
What it said to watch
15m close above the 0.82500 asia high re-opens the 0.82619 prior high
Loss of the 0.82372 session low exposes the 0.82340 asia low, then 0.82225 ny low
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the near-term USD volatility source; Fed's Bowman 07:30 UTC follows
01:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.82437
Tight Asian range inside prior NY range.
USDCHF is compressed in a 0.82433–0.82500 Asian range after the NY session bounced off 0.82225 and stalled at 0.82525, the pair still consolidating below the week's 16-month high with the Fed-hawkish/SNB-at-zero divergence already priced. Price sits at the bottom of that range with RSI(14) at 49 and ATR only ~4.6 pips — no structural setup in play, and lower highs since 17:00 broker time keep the recovery leg capped.
Support: 0.82433, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82500 asia high puts the 0.82525 ny high back in focus
Loss of 0.82433 asia low exposes 0.82340 late ny low
Fed's Bowman 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC are the near-term drivers for this range
00:46 UTC
Sideways after NY sell-off, no directional push · RSI 53 · price 0.82457
Tight consolidation inside the upper half of the NY down-leg.
NY hours sold the pair from 0.8262 down to the 0.82225 ny low as post-Fed USD momentum stalled, and price has since spent the Asia session chopping between the 0.8243 range low and the 0.8250 range top, right at the 61.8% retracement of that down-leg. A thin rollover gap near 0.8240 was filled within two bars; RSI(14) is mid-range and ATR(14) has compressed to under 5 pips.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8250 range top would re-open the 0.8262 prior high
Loss of the 0.8234 asia low re-exposes the 0.82225 ny low
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC is the first scheduled USD driver after the London open
NY hours sold USDCHF from 0.82619 to the 0.82225 ny low, then a stair-step recovery stalled under the 0.82525 ny high — Fed-hawkish vs SNB-at-zero remains the backdrop but the pair has gone flat. Rollover printed a thin gap down to the 0.82372 gap low and a 0.82340 session low, both recovered; price now sits mid-range either side of the 0.82500 round number with RSI(14) near 49 and ATR at ~5 pips in Asia hours.
Support: 0.82372, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525, 0.82619
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above the 0.82500 round number and 0.82525 ny high re-opens 0.82619 prior day hi
Loss of the 0.82372 gap low and 0.82340 session low re-exposes the 0.82225 ny low
London open flow and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC can break this flat Asian range
Higher lows off 0.82340 inside a 0.8234-0.8253 range.
USDCHF is grinding back up through thin Asia hours after the NY low at 0.82225 held and a rollover gap down to 0.82340 was immediately bought; price now sits at 0.82496, just under the 0.82525 ny high. The pair remains inside its post-Fed consolidation band with RSI(14) mid-range near 55 and ATR(14) compressed to about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 ny high would put the 0.8262 prior high back in focus
Loss of the 0.8244 asia base re-exposes the 0.8234 asia low and then 0.82225
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 UTC and BoJ-driven USD volatility into the London open could reshape this intraday read
00:02 UTC
Recovering after NY slide, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 0.82496
Higher lows in Asia inside prior-day range.
NY hours dumped the pair from 0.82620 to 0.82225 before it clawed back through the afternoon; the 21:00 GMT rollover gap left a thin Asia low at 0.82340. Asia has since built higher lows and price is pressing the 0.82500 round number, roughly two-thirds of the NY drop retraced, RSI(14) mid-range at 55 with ATR only ~4 pips — post-FOMC USD firmness against an SNB stuck at zero is still the backdrop.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.82525 (ny high) would reopen the prior day high at 0.82620
Loss of the asia mid at 0.82440 puts the 0.82340 asia low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could materially shift this read