USD/JPY AI Live Scan, daily chart, Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:03 UTC
Lower highs since July, recovery stalling in a range · RSI 52 · price 158.114
LH chain intact; higher low off Sept low, three-week range.
The pair has printed lower highs since the late-July peak at 163.99, first 160.39 (swing high) and then 159.03 (sept high), with two sharp liquidation legs in between. The rebound from the 152.89 sept low cleared the fib 61.8 of the September drop and has since settled into a 156.38–159.03 range for three weeks, with closes pinned near a flat EMA(50) around 157.95 and a range cap at 158.50–158.75, where the 200-day SMA sits. Higher oil and wide yield gaps are supporting the pair, while intervention talk and BoJ-hike expectations are capping the upside.
Support: 157.52, 156.38, 152.89
Resistance: 158.75, 159.03, 160.39
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
A daily close above 159.03 sept high breaks the lower-high chain and opens 160.39 swing high
A daily close back below the 157.52 fib 61.8 shifts focus to the 156.38 range low
Loss of 156.38 range low reopens the path toward the 152.89 sept low
MoF/intervention headlines near 159–160 can cap tests of the range cap
11:24 UTC
Downtrend stalled, basing into a flat range · RSI 52 · price 158.052
Lower highs from July top; higher low at 156.38, now ranging 157.45–158.75.
USDJPY has printed lower highs since the 163.99 July top, with the September flush to 152.89 the last lower low; the rebound has since set a higher low at 156.38 and pushed price just above the lower-high line off the July top, with no follow-through so far. Price has flattened into a seven-session range between 157.45 and 158.75, where the range top sits on the 78.6% and the range low near the 61.8% of the 160.39–152.89 sep swing fib, with RSI neutral at 52 and EMA(50) flattening near 158.18. Hawkish-Fed and oil-driven dollar demand lifted the pair into the range top, but the latest session saw rejection from 158.65 and closed back below EMA(50), with intervention risk around 158.50–158.70 capping the topside.
Support: 157.45, 156.38, 152.89
Resistance: 158.75, 159.03, 160.39
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) is the main catalyst; a hot core print could test the 158.75 range top, while a soft one could pressure the 157.45 range low
Daily close above the 158.75 range top and the 159.03 swing high would break the lower-high sequence and open the 160.39 sep high
Daily close below the 157.45 range low exposes the 156.38 higher low; losing that reinstates the lower-low chain toward the 152.89 sep low
MoF verbal intervention headlines near 158.50–158.70 could abruptly reverse any test of the range top