Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:45 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows into Friday close · RSI 38 · price 3,875.80
Lower highs and lower lows; late-NY range 3870–3888 below broken 3900.
London broke below the Asian range (3980–4026), and the NY open accelerated a liquidation-led slide through broken 3900 to 3891.6 as USD and yields recovered. The ny rebound stalled at 3923.8, and a grind of lower highs printed a fresh session low at 3870.3. The late-NY bounce high at 3887.7 has since capped price, with RSI(14) near 38 and well clear of oversold.
Support: 3,870.26, 3,850.00
Resistance: 3,887.73, 3,900.00, 3,923.78
What it said to watch
- Failure to hold the 3870.3 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 3850 round number
- M15 close above the 3887.7 bounce high and the descending lower-highs line shifts focus to broken 3900 as resistance
- Reclaim of 3900 opens the 3923.8 ny rebound high
- Friday close: weekend gap risk at the reopen
- US ISM Manufacturing Mon 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.7, Prices Paid 77.5) could materially shift this read
17:39 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into the weekly close · RSI 37 · price 3,875.80
Lower highs and lower lows; late 3870–3888 range below broken 3900.
Liquidation selling took gold from ~4026 in Asia through 3900 psych during NY hours, and lower highs stayed intact from the 3923.78 bounce high down to a 3870.54 session low. A late jump to the 3887.73 spike high was rejected below the broken 3886/3900 area into the weekly close, with RSI(14) near 37 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 3,870.54, 3,850.00
Resistance: 3,887.73, 3,900.00, 3,923.78
What it said to watch
- A close back above the 3887.73 spike high and the descending trendline from the bounce high would break the lower-high sequence.
- Reclaim of 3900 psych would put the 38.2% fib of the 3999–3870 leg near 3920 in play.
- A break below the 3870.54 session low, or a weekend gap under it, exposes the 3850 round number.
- US ISM Manufacturing and Prices Paid on Mon 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read.