AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 2 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:03 UTC
Downtrend since Tuesday, post-NFP bounce testing it · RSI 60 · price 0.69588
Lower highs Tue–Thu broken by Friday's NFP spike; higher low at 0.6945.
The pair carved lower highs from Tuesday's post-RBA week high at 0.7029 down to the 0.6903 week low in Thursday's NY session, as Bullock's extended-hold signal left AUD trading on US yields. Friday's 29K NFP miss lifted it out of the 0.6931 pre-NFP base through the lower-high line to 0.6975, but the move met rejection between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the week's decline. Price faded to a 0.6945 pullback low during NY hours, near EMA(20) and the 38.2% level, and closed the week back around 0.6959 with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 0.6945, 0.6931, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000, 0.7029
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6975 nfp high opens the 0.7000 round number, with the 0.7029 week high beyond
Failure to hold the 0.6945 pullback low and the higher-lows line returns focus to the 0.6931 pre-nfp base
A move back through 0.6931 would put the 0.6903 week low and the prior lower-high sequence back in play
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could rebuild Fed hike odds and shift this read
AU Services PMI (Sun 23:00 UTC) is a secondary risk at the week open
Lower highs intact below 0.6987; Friday higher lows off 0.6903.
Supply has defined the week. Tuesday's RBA spike to the 0.7029 rba high reversed, lower highs followed at 0.6987 on Wednesday and 0.6956 on Thursday, and Thursday's NY session drove the week low at 0.6903 as US yields hit fresh highs. Friday printed higher lows through Asia and London before the NFP miss (29K vs 90K) lifted price to 0.6975 in the first hour of NY, clearing the lower-highs trendline but meeting rejection between the 50% and 61.8% of the week-drop fib, short of the wed high; price has since faded to 0.6950 (38.2%), sitting on the converged ema20/50 near 0.6947 with RSI(14) back at 53.
Support: 0.6947, 0.6913, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6987, 0.7029
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6987 wed high breaks the lower-high sequence and brings the 0.7029 rba high back into view
Another rejection at the 0.6975 nfp high leaves the post-payrolls spike as a fresh lower high
Loss of the ema20/50 near 0.6947 and the Friday higher-lows trendline exposes the 0.6913 friday low, then the 0.6903 week low
AU Services PMI (Oct 4, 23:00 GMT) and US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read after the weekend
Lower highs Tue–Thu, line broken Fri; higher low off 0.6903.
AUDUSD slid from Tuesday's RBA-day 0.7029 peak, carving lower highs into Thursday's NY-session week low at 0.6903 as US yields hit fresh highs. Friday's soft NFP (29K vs 90K) broke the lower-highs line and spiked to the 0.6975 nfp high, stalling just under the 61.8% of the Tue–Thu fib (0.6981) before fully fading into the NY afternoon. Price now sits on the 38.2% retracement near 0.6951, just above the ema20, with Friday's higher lows still intact above the 0.6931 nfp base.
Support: 0.69445, 0.69314, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69752, 0.69874, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.6931 nfp base breaks the higher lows line and returns focus to the 0.6903 week low
Holding the ema20 and a close above the 0.6975 nfp high reopens the 0.6987 wed high and the 0.7000 psych level
Weekend gap risk: AU Services PMI (Oct 4, 23:00 GMT) and US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could rebuild or unwind the post-NFP Fed repricing
Lower highs from Tuesday intact; short-term higher lows since Thursday's low.
AUDUSD has printed lower highs since Tuesday's 0.7029 week high, bottoming at the 0.6903 week low in Thursday's NY session before building higher lows through today's Asia and London sessions. The 29K NFP miss pushed the pair through the lower-high line to a 0.6975 NFP high. The spike faded fully within three bars, and price is now back on that line near the 38.2% retracement of the week's decline (0.6951), just above the 0.6947 post-NFP low. EMA(20) and EMA(50) have converged around 0.6946-0.6948 with RSI(14) back at 50, and the structure below the 0.6987 wed high is unchanged.
Support: 0.6947, 0.6931, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6987, 0.7029
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6975 NFP high and the 0.6987 wed high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6947 post-NFP low turns the lower-high line retest into a rejection
A break of the 0.6931 pre-NFP low and the higher-lows line returns focus to the 0.6903 week low
US ISM Services Monday 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
The week has trended lower from Monday's 0.703 area. A dovish-read RBA on Tuesday and rising US yields mid-week left a 0.6987 wed high and then the 0.6903 week low during Thursday's NY session. Friday built higher lows off that base, and the soft NFP (29K vs 90K) spiked price to a 0.6975 nfp high, but the spike faded within three bars back toward the 61.8% fib near 0.6955. Price now sits only a few pips above the ema20 around 0.6945, with RSI(14) cooling back toward the high 50s.
Support: 0.6945, 0.6931, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6975, 0.6987
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.6975 nfp high reopens the 0.6987 wed high and undercuts the lower-highs read
Failure to hold the ema20 near 0.6945 and the Friday higher-lows trendline exposes the 0.6931 swing low
A break of the 0.6903 week low resumes the week's downtrend structure
ISM Services Mon Oct 5 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read; Australia Services PMI lands Oct 4 23:00 GMT
Lower highs from Tuesday's RBA spike near 0.7029 down to Thursday's NY-session week low at 0.6903 defined the week, with the Wednesday and Thursday NY sessions driving most of the slide as US yields climbed. Price had already pushed above the lower-high trendline in Friday's London session, and the 29K NFP miss with soft wages extended the move to the 0.6975 NFP high, clearing Thursday's lower high and the 38.2% fib of the Mon-Thu decline at 0.6955. The rally stalled just above the 50% retracement. Price now holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) easing to ~66 from 71.
Support: 0.6955, 0.6946, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6987, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Hold of the 38.2% fib at 0.6955 keeps the breakout read intact; an H1 close back below ema20 near 0.6946 reopens the week low at 0.6903
H1 close above the 0.6975 nfp high exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.6987, which lines up with Wednesday's lower high, and then the 0.7000 psych level
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 GMT (f/c 55.7): a hot prices-paid reading could revive USD demand and the lower-high structure
The week opened near 0.7020 and printed a run of lower highs into Thursday's NY session, where yield-driven USD demand set the 0.6903 week low. Friday's NFP miss (29K vs 90K, soft wages) lifted price about 27 pips on the release bar, clearing the Thu high at 0.6956 and the lower-high trendline. Price is now pausing just under the 0.6975 NFP high at the 50% retracement of the week's decline, with RSI(14) near 73 after Thursday's oversold readings.
Support: 0.6956, 0.6940, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6987, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.6956 Thu high would turn the NFP breakout into a false break
Acceptance above the 0.6987 Wed high (61.8% of the week decline fib) opens the 0.7000 round number
Holding the ema20 near 0.6940 keeps the post-NFP higher low intact; a break of the 0.6903 week low resumes the downtrend
US Factory Orders 14:00 GMT, thin Friday liquidity, and ISM Services Mon 14:00 GMT could shift this read
Lower-highs line broken; higher lows since 0.6903.
The week sold off from Monday's 0.7039 high. The first leg came on the RBA hold in Tuesday's Asia session, and a second came in Thursday's NY session down to the 0.6903 week low as US yields pushed higher. Since then price has printed higher lows at 0.6913 and the 0.6931 pre-NFP low. The 29K payrolls miss then added roughly 27 pips in the first hour of NY, breaking the lower-highs trendline and clearing the 38.2% fib at 0.6955. Price is now stalling at the 50% fib near 0.6970, with RSI(14) around 68 and price above both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 0.6955, 0.6931, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 38.2% fib at 0.6955 would return price to Thursday's breakdown range and fade the NFP breakout
Close above the 61.8% fib at 0.6988, where Tuesday's and Wednesday's swing highs sit, clears the lower-high sequence toward the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6931 pre-NFP low breaks the higher-lows trendline and re-exposes the 0.6903 week low
US Factory Orders at 14:00 UTC and Monday's ISM Services (f/c 55.7) could shift the post-NFP USD repricing
Lower highs every session since Monday; Friday higher low at 0.6913 under test.
AUDUSD has printed a lower high in every session since Monday's 0.7039 top. Tuesday's dovish RBA hike and record US yields drove the slide to a 0.6903 week low, set after the ISM release in Thursday's NY session. Friday's 0.6913 asia low held as a higher low, and London lifted price back above EMA(20) to the 23.6% retracement. The 0.6946 session high is capping just under EMA(50) and the lower-high trendline, with RSI(14) recovering to ~57 from oversold.
Support: 0.6931, 0.6913, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6956, 0.6987
What it said to watch
US September NFP in the NY session today could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6956 lower high (38.2% retracement) breaks the week's lower-high sequence and opens the 0.6987 wed high
Acceptance above the 0.6946 session high and the lower-high trendline near 0.6950 confirms the bounce is extending
Loss of the 0.6931 session low and the Friday recovery line exposes the 0.6913 asia low
Break of the 0.6903 week low and the 0.6900 round number resumes the downtrend
Lower highs and lower lows all week; corrective bounce off the 0.6903 week low.
AUDUSD has stepped down in lower highs and lower lows since Monday's 0.7039 peak. The two sharpest legs came on Tuesday's dovish RBA hike in the Asia session and in Thursday's NY session, when hot ISM prices paid drove price to the 0.6903 week low. Friday's Asia and London rebound from the friday low at 0.6913 stalled at the 50% fib of the Wednesday-to-Thursday decline near 0.6946. Price has since slipped back to the 38.2% area, holding just above ema20 with RSI(14) neutral in the mid-50s and still below EMA(50) near 0.6939.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69126, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69456, 0.69559, 0.69874
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 61.8% fib / Thursday high at 0.6956 breaks the lower-highs sequence and brings the wed high at 0.6987 into view
Failure to hold ema20 near 0.6930 exposes the friday low at 0.6913 and the week low at 0.6903; a break below 0.6900 extends the lower-low sequence
Lower highs since Monday; first higher low at Asia low.
The week has been a staircase of lower highs from Monday's 0.7039 peak. The dovish RBA hike in Tuesday's Asia session started the slide, and the move extended into Thursday's NY open to a 0.6903 week low as US yields hit fresh highs. Friday's Asia session printed a higher low at 0.6913 and lifted price back above EMA(20) near 0.6932, but the bounce stalled at the 50% fib of the Wednesday–Thursday leg (0.6946), where EMA(50) also sits, with RSI(14) back near 54 from oversold.
Support: 0.6932, 0.69126, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69456, 0.69559, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read in either direction
H1 close above the thu high at 0.6956 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7000 round number in view
Rejection at the 50% fib near 0.6946 keeps the Friday move a correction within the downtrend
Failure to hold the asia low at 0.6913 and the higher low line reopens the 0.6903 week low
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; Friday higher low off week low.
AUDUSD has set lower highs every day since Monday's 0.7039 peak. Three releases drove the slide to the 0.6903 week low: Tuesday's dovish RBA hike, Wednesday's softer AU trimmed-mean CPI and Thursday's NY-session drop on hot ISM prices paid and higher US yields. Friday's 0.6913 asia low formed a higher low, and the London bounce has pushed price above ema20 and the lower-high line with RSI(14) back near 52. It is now pressing the 0.6946 day high just under EMA(50), with the thu high at 0.6956 sitting on the 38.2% of the week fib.
Support: 0.69337, 0.69126, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69456, 0.69559, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read during NY hours
H1 close above the thu high at 0.6956 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7000 round number in view
Rejection at the 0.6946 day high and a loss of ema20 near 0.6934 return focus to the 0.6913 asia low and the higher low
Failure to hold the 0.6903 week low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.6900
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; first higher low at 0.6913.
The lower-highs trendline has held since Monday's 0.7039 high. Tuesday's Asia-session drop on the RBA decision started the slide, and Thursday's NY-session leg to the 0.6903 week low followed fresh highs in US yields and firm US data. Price has since set a higher low at the 0.6913 Friday low and recovered above EMA(20) into the London open, with RSI(14) back near 60, and is now pressing the lower-highs trendline and EMA(50) around 0.6945. The Thu high at 0.6955, also the 38.2% retracement of the week's decline, is the next cap overhead ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.6933, 0.6913, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6955, 0.6971
What it said to watch
US September NFP at 12:30 UTC today (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6955 Thu high breaks the lower-highs sequence and opens the 50% fib at 0.6971
Acceptance back below ema20 at 0.6933 returns focus to the 0.6913 Friday low
Break of the 0.6903 week low extends the lower-low structure
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; Friday higher low at 0.6913.
AUDUSD has printed lower highs and lower lows from Monday's 0.7039 high. The sell-the-fact reaction to Tuesday's dovish RBA hike broke 0.70, and a firm, yield-driven USD extended the slide to a 0.6903 week low during Thursday's NY session. Friday's Asia session left a higher low at 0.6913, and the rebound has lifted price back above the ema20 to the 23.6% level of the week fib near 0.6935, nudging past the lower-high line from Tuesday. Supply has still capped each rally lower, with the Wednesday high at 0.6987, the Thursday high at 0.6956 and now the Friday high at 0.6941.
Support: 0.69312, 0.69126, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69409, 0.69559, 0.69874
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT today (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read, with the 0.6903 week low as the downside test
An H1 close above the 0.6956 Thursday high (38.2% of the week fib) breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the ema20 and the 0.6913 Asia low higher low resumes the lower-low pattern
Rejection at the 0.6941 Friday high, just under the EMA(50), keeps the rebound inside the downtrend
Lower highs since Monday; first higher low forming.
Every rally has stalled at a lower high since Monday's 0.7039 top. Tuesday's RBA hike and Bullock's dovish tilt knocked the pair below 0.70 in Asia, and Thursday's NY session extended the slide to a 0.6903 week low as US yields pushed to fresh highs. Friday's Asia session has since printed a higher low at the 0.6913 asia low and reclaimed EMA(20), with RSI(14) back near 51. Spot sits at 0.6935, below EMA(50) and pressing the 23.6% level of the week range and the lower-highs trendline from the 0.6987 wed high.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69126, 0.69034
Resistance: 0.69387, 0.69559, 0.69874
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6939 asia high and the lower-highs trendline would break the sequence; the 0.6956 Thursday high at the 38.2% fib is the next cap
Recovery through 0.6956 brings the 0.6987 wed high (61.8% of the week range) into view
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.6929 and then the 0.6913 asia low reopens the 0.6903 week low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
05:04 UTC
Downtrend, Friday Asia bounce testing the lower-high trendline · RSI 52 · price 0.69339
Lower highs every session since Monday; rebound off 0.6903 week low pressing trendline resistance.
AUD/USD has printed lower highs from Monday's 0.7039 peak. Tuesday's RBA hike and Wednesday's soft trimmed-mean CPI each triggered Asia-session drops, and Thursday's NY session leg after the hot ISM prices-paid print took the pair to a 0.6903 week low. Friday's Asia session held 0.6913, the asia low, and lifted price back above the ema20 near 0.6929, with RSI(14) recovering to around 52. Price is now testing the lower-high trendline and the 23.6% week fib near 0.6935-0.6938, while EMA(50) still sits overhead.
Support: 0.6929, 0.6913, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6956, 0.6987
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6956 thu high (38.2% week fib) breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.6987 wed high in view
Rejection at the 0.6938 trendline, followed by a slip back below the ema20 at 0.6929, keeps the downtrend intact
Break of the 0.6913 asia low reopens the 0.6903 week low and the 0.69 handle
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; price retesting the lower-highs line.
The week opened near 0.7022 and the dominant moves came in steps: the dovish RBA hike broke 0.70 in Tuesday's Asia session, softer trimmed-mean CPI extended the slide on Wednesday, and Thursday's NY session leg on rising US yields printed the week low at 0.6903. Friday's Asian bounce held 0.6913 and has lifted price back above EMA(20) to the 23.6% retracement of the week's decline, right at the lower-highs trendline. EMA(50) near 0.6941 caps from just above, and RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s from Thursday's lows.
Support: 0.6929, 0.6913, 0.6903
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6956, 0.6987
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 90K) and wages could materially shift this read
H1 close above the lower-highs line and ema50 at 0.6941 would break the run of lower highs; the thu high at 0.6956 (38.2%) is the next test
Failure back below the asia low at 0.6913 would expose the week low at 0.6903 and the 0.69 handle
The wed high at 0.6987 near the 61.8% retracement marks where the lower-highs sequence would be fully negated
AUDUSD has set lower highs every session since Monday's 0.7039 peak. It lost 0.70 after Tuesday's RBA hike and Bullock's guidance against further tightening, and the soft trimmed-mean CPI plus Thursday's NY-session slide on hot ISM prices paid extended the week's decline to the week low at 0.6903. Since then price has based between the asia low at 0.6913 and the thu high at 0.6933, sitting on EMA(20) near 0.6930 and just under the falling trendline of lower highs, with RSI(14) recovered to ~45 from sub-30 at the low.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6903, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6933, 0.6955, 0.6987
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the thu high at 0.6933 and the lower-highs trendline breaks the descending sequence, with the 38.2% fib at 0.6955 (Thursday's London high) next
Wed high at 0.6987 is the last lower high; reclaiming it would void the week's decline structure
Failure to hold the asia low at 0.6913 exposes the week low at 0.6903 and the 0.69 psych level
Lower highs and lower lows since Tuesday, shallow bounce capped at EMA20.
Lower highs and lower lows have held since the RBA fade broke 0.70 in Tuesday's Asia session. The Wed high at 0.6994 capped the CPI spike, and Thursday's NY-session leg to the week low at 0.6903 came after the hawkish ISM prices-paid read. The rebound high at 0.6933 stalled just above EMA(20) near 0.6929, and price has eased to a 0.6913 Asia low with RSI(14) near 36, below the midline but not oversold, while the prior lower high at 0.6956 sits on the 38.2% level of the week high-low fib.
Support: 0.69126, 0.69034, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6933, 0.69559, 0.69943
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6933 rebound high and the lower-high line (~0.6935) breaks the lower-high sequence, with the 0.6956 lower high next
Loss of the 0.6913 asia low and the 0.6903 week low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6900 round number
Wed high at 0.6994 remains the structural cap below 0.70
01:04 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 36 · price 0.69177
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; post-low bounce capped below EMA20.
AUDUSD has printed a lower high every day since Monday's 0.7039 NY-session peak. The legs lower came on Tuesday's RBA hike, which was faded on Bullock's dovish signal, then in Asia on Wednesday after the soft trimmed-mean CPI, and in Thursday's NY session around ISM, when price fell to the 0.6903 week low. The rebound stalled at the 0.6933 bounce high just under EMA(20) and is slipping back toward 0.6918 in Asia, with RSI(14) near 36 and price still capped below the lower highs trendline.
Support: 0.69034, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6933, 0.69559, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; the AUD digest flags a firm print as the main risk to the 0.6903 week low
H1 close below the 0.6903 week low and the 0.6900 psych handle extends the lower-low sequence
H1 close above the 0.6933 bounce high and EMA(20) would ease the immediate downside pressure
0.6956 lower high (near the 38.2% of the week drop fib) and the lower highs trendline are the area to watch for rejection or break; above that, 0.7000 psych is the next reference
AUD/USD has printed lower highs since Monday's 0.7039 NY-session high. The post-RBA drop in Tuesday's Asia session and Thursday's NY sell-off on hot ISM prices paid and record US yields did most of the work, leaving the week low at 0.6903. The late-Thursday rebound stalled at 0.6933, at EMA(20) and just under the 23.6% retrace of the week's decline, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs. The lower-highs trendline from Monday sits near 0.6945, just beneath the 0.6956 lower high.
Support: 0.69034, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6933, 0.69559, 0.70174
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6956 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and the trendline read
Failure at 0.6903 week low and the 0.6900 psych level extends the downtrend
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC (f/c 90K) could materially shift this read
A move back toward the 0.7017 weekly open would first need to clear the 61.8% retrace near 0.6987